03-02-2024 Daily Predictions Six Nations Championships Italy vs England

Italy vs England

Italy welcome England to the Stadio Olimpico to kick off their campaign in the 2024 Six Nations. The home side have never beaten the visitors in 30 previous matches but will be hoping for a much closer contest compared to the last time the English were in Rome. Both teams have are going through a transitional phase since the World Cup with Italy having a new coach. England have had retirements of some senior players while the single biggest loss is that of their Captain Owen Farrell who has chosen to skip the tournament. He will be heading to Racing 92 next season which could effectively end his international career.

TIP: Italy are at full strength for this match and will be looking for some Garbisi magic as the brothers Paolo and Alessandro line up in the halfbacks. England have been forced into plenty of changes with Marcus Smith getting injured in training which has meant George Ford will take the ten jersey. There is also a debut for New Zealand born Ethan Roots on the flank whose contest with veteran Sebastian Negri promises to be a baptism of fire. The bookies have England as favorites and I’m also tipping them for the win. The best odds on this bet are as follows: Betway 1.11, Gbets 1.12 and Hollywoodbets 1.11

HEAD-TO-HEAD STATS

Italy vs England

  • Italy have never beaten England in the Six Nations.
  • Italy have lost their last 5 home matches against England by more than 20 points.  

Latest results for both teams

Italy lost 60-7 to France in their last match while England beat Argentina 26-23 in their last match.  

PREDICTION

Italy have the more experienced team on the park and will look to put the inexperienced England team under pressure. The scrum will be the one area that the visitors seem to have the advantage in and will target the home sides front row. If the Italian pack can at least gain parity in the match, then they can lay the platform for the likes of their devastating wingers in Ange Capuozzo and Monty Ioane. England have some excellent attackers themselves in Tommy Freeman and Fraser Dingwall. This match is likely to be much closer than previous encounters between the teams. I am predicting an England win by 8 points.

Probable Starting XVs

Italy

15 Tommaso Allan, 14 Ange Capuozzo, 13 Juan Ignacio Brex, 12 Tommaso Menoncello, 11 Monty Ioane, 10 Paolo Garbisi, 9 Alessandro Garbisi, 8 Lorenzo Cannone, 7 Michele Lamaro (c), 6 Sebastian Negri, 5 Federico Ruzza, 4 Niccolò Cannone, 3 Pietro Ceccarelli, 2 Gianmarco Lucchesi, 1 Danilo Fischetti

England

15 Freddie Steward, 14 Tommy Freeman, 13 Henry Slade, 12 Fraser Dingwall, 11 Elliot Daly, 10 George Ford, 9 Alex Mitchell, 8 Ben Earl, 7 Sam Underhill, 6 Ethan Roots, 5 Ollie Chessum, 4 Maro Itoje, 3 Will Stuart, 2 Jamie George (c), 1 Joe Marler

Odds for this bet

The best odds on the England victory are as follows:

Betway 1.11

Gbets 1.12

Hollywoodbets 1.11

Odds comparison on the Italy handicap:

The complete odds on the Italy handicap:

Betway 1.90 (+15.5)

Gbets 1.87 (+15.5)

Hollywoodbets 1.89 (+15.5)

Predictions and Odds in details

There are poor odds on the England outright win therefore we suggest backing the home team on the handicap for better odds. The best odds on this bet are as follows: Betway 1.90 (+15.5), Gbets 1.87 (+15.5) and Hollywoodbets 1.89 (+15.5)

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