Super Rugby AU heads into week 3 and I think it is safe to say that the Force and the Waratahs are going to battle it out for the wooden spoon. The Waratahs are coming of 2 record defeats to the Reds and Brumbies. The Force recruited heavily in the close season and brought international stars like Ireland’s Rob Kearney and Argentine stars Domingo Miotto and Tomás Cubelli. Their first match against the defending champion Brumbies they showed plenty of promise but the Brumbies defended stoutly. The youthful Waratahs team looks disjointed and were thumped 61-10 by the self-same Brumbies. The team lacks leadership after the departure of Wallabies skipper Michael Hooper and new captain Jake Gordon getting injured has not helped their cause.

TIP: I tip the Force to win this one as they have the experience and have recruited wisely. Waratahs may be at home but they aren’t playing like a team, while the Force on the other hand would have enjoyed their bye last week. They had that extra time to gel with the new signings and I’m certain we going to see that international quality shine through this weekend. Forces are good value for money at Sunbet on a -1.5 handicap. Odds are 1.90. Gbets have them at 1.78 for the win.

 HEAD TO HEAD STATS

Waratahs vs Force

Last 5 meetings

Force                       8: 28                     Waratahs

Waratahs               23: 14                    Force

Force                       40: 11                   Waratahs

Waratahs              19: 13                    Force

 Force                      13: 49                  Waratahs

The Force have won just once in the last 5 matches against the Waratahs but this is slightly misleading as these matches were in 2017 and that was against a very powerful Wallabies laden Waratahs team.

Latest results for both teams

The Waratahs are coming of two record defeats while the Force lost in the first round to the Brumbies, although they showed enough fight to suggest they will overcome the Waratahs.

PREDICTION

I am going for the Western Force to win this match by more than 3 points and well worth the -1 handicap at 1.90 with Sunbet and 1.90 at Trackandball with the same -1 handicap.

  • Probable Starting XVs

Waratahs

(15-1): Jack Maddocks, Mark Nawaqanitawase, Alex Newsome (c), Tepai Moeroa, James Ramm, Will Harrison, Jack Grant, Jack Dempsey, Carlo Tizzano, Lachie Swinton, Jack Whetton, Sam Caird, Harry Johnson-Holmes, Tom Horton, Angus Bell

Western Force

(15-1) Rob Kearney , Byron Ralston, Tevita Kuridrani , Kyle Godwin,  Marcel Brache, Jono Lance , Ian Prior, Brynard Stander, Kane Koteka Tomas Lezana, Fergus Lee Warner Jeremy Thrush, Santiago Medrano,  Feleti Kaitu’u, Tom Robertson

Odds for this bet

After taking all the information into account I think this is a game that will go the way of the Force and the bookies are offering great odds on a -1 handicap for the Force. Trackandball are offering 1.85 on the Force scoring more than 23.5 points. I fancy this bet as the Waratahs have shipped 102 points in their 2 matches at an average of 51 points a game.

Sunbet -1 handicap 1.90

Trackandball 1.85 for Force scoring more than 23.5 points

Supabets – 1.60 for Force win

Odds comparison

The best value for your bet on an outright victory for the Force is Trackandball at 1.80 while Sunbet has the Force at 1.84 on the -1 handicap. Supabets have the Force slight favourite at 1.60.

 Predictions  and Odds in details

My prediction is for the Force to overcome the -1 handicap and win comfortable against an inexperienced and youthful Waratahs team. The international experience in the Force team should be to much for the Waratahs to handle. Best betting oods are :

Sunbet -1 handicap 1.90

Trackandball Force to score more than 23.5 points 1.85

Supabets Force to win 1.60

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