06-10-2023 Daily Predictions Rugby World Cup 2023 France vs Italy

France vs Italy

Hosts France take on Italy in this crunch Pool A encounter. The home team are in pole position to qualify unless something drastic happens in this match. For the Azzurri to qualify they will need to beat Les Blues and prevent them from getting two bonus points (try bonus and losing bonus).

This seems almost impossible to happen especially after Italy were hammered 97-16 in their last match. The major news for France is that this will be their first match without their talisman and Captain Anton Dupont who is recovering from the fractured cheekbone he suffered against Namibia.

TIP: It’s not too much of a stretch to say that the Dupont is the single biggest loss to any team at the tournament. He is everything that is good about the French team of recent years and it remains to be seen how they cope without him. Italy have made a number of changes for this match with Tommaso Allan moving from fullback to flyhalf being the most significant one. They will look to kick more with Allan in the pivot position and this is a good idea after the mauling they took against the All Blacks. The bookies have France as favorites and I’m also tipping them for the win. The best odds on this bet are as follows: Betway 1.01, Gbets 1.01 and Hollywoodbets 1.01

HEAD-TO-HEAD STATS

France vs Italy

  • France have won the last 13 matches against Italy.
  • The last time Italy beat France was in 2013

Latest results for both teams

France beat Namibia 96-0 in their last match while Italy lost 96-17 to New Zealand last time out.  

PREDICTION

France knows this is one of the biggest games in their recent history and will be fired up but will need to control their aggression. Italy will want to bounce back from one of the darkest days in their rugby history and will need to be more conservative in their approach. They cannot run the ball from anywhere and make errors as France are deadly on turnover ball. One the highlights of this match will be the midfield battle between Paolo Garbisi and the power house Jonathan Danty. It’s a classis case of guile up against pure strength. Les Blues despite the loss of Dupont should win this match comfortably therefore I predict a French win by 18 points.

Probable Starting XVs

France

15 Thomas Ramos, 14 Damian Penaud, 13 Gael Fickou, 12 Jonathan Danty, 11 Louis Bielle-Biarrey, 10 Matthieu Jalibert, 9 Maxime Lucu, 8 Gregory Alldritt, 7 Charles Ollivon (c), 6 Anthony Jelonch, 5 Thibaud Flament, 4 Cameron Woki, 3 Uini Atonio, 2 Peato Mauvaka, 1 Cyril Baille

Italy  

15 Ange Capuozzo, 14 Pierre Bruno, 13 Juan Ignacio Brex, 12 Paolo Garbisi, 11 Montanna Ioane, 10 Tommaso Allan, 9 Stephen Varney, 8 Lorenzo Cannone, 7 Michele Lamaro (c), 6 Sebastian Negri, 5 Federico Ruzza, 4 Niccolo Cannone, 3 Pietro Ceccarelli, 2 Hame Faiva, 1 Simone Ferrari

Odds for this bet

The best odds on the France victory are as follows:

Betway 1.01

Gbets 1.01

Hollywoodbets 1.01

Odds comparison on the Italy handicap:

The complete odds on the Italy handicap:

Betway 1.90 (+26.5)

Gbets 1.87 (+26.5)

Hollywoodbets 1.89 (+26.5)

Predictions and Odds in details

There is no money to be made on the France outright win therefore we suggest backing Italy on the handicap. The best odds on this bet are as follows: Betway 1.90 (+26.5), Gbets 1.87 (+26.5) and Hollywoodbets 1.89 (+26.5)

Other tips for the weekend (Predicted winners are in BOLD text)

Canterbury vs Auckland

Taranaki vs Tasman  

Wales vs Georgia  

England vs Samoa

Ireland vs Scotland   

Japan vs Argentina  

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