Australia vs France
Both these teams will be rusty as they have not played an international test in months. The French have brought a very young and inexperienced team to Australia as the players involved in the French Top 14 playoffs were not considered due the Covid quarantine restrictions. Michael Hooper is back from Japan and will lead the side and this will be a welcome boost for the Aussies. The French team will be captained by Anthony Jelonch and he is one of only three players in the team that played the last Six Nations match. The French team has tremendous squad depth and will still test the Aussies with this inexperienced side. The Wallabies have been on a downward slide for many years and this team will struggle in attack. Their coach Dave Rennie renowned for his attacking mindset has not been able to transform the fortunes of this Aussie team. They seem to defend very well but have no great attacking abilities. The French have no such problems and are great going forward. The likes of Damian Penaud and Gabin Villiere will severely test the home team as both these players have extreme pace and are excellent in the air. The packs will decide the contest and this is where I feel the Aussies have the edge especially since they have Taniela Tupou on a very strong bench. The French players have a confidence about them and they will need to come out firing to build a lead as you can expect the Aussies to be the stronger team in the second half.
TIP: The battle between the fly halves will be very interesting as they are both young and have only played a few tests between them. Louis Carbonel was a star for France when they won the U20 WC and he has progressed to being the number one choice flyhalf at Toulon. The Aussies will be hoping that Noah Lolesio will be able to ignite the backline as they have Tom Banks and Marika Koroibete, raring to attack the French tryline. The home team will field a very experienced front row while the French have a debutant in hooker Gaëtan Barlot. The Aussies will look to attack the scrum and if the French can find parity at scrum time then I think this will be a very close match. The bookies have the Aussies as favourites and I agree with this but it will be a very close game. The best odds on the Aussie win is as follows: Gbets 1.20, Playabets 1.20 and Sunbet 1.28
HEAD TO HEAD STATS
Australia vs France
- Australia has won four of the last five matches between these sides.
- The last time France beat Australia was in 2014.
- Australia have never lost at home to France
Latest results for both teams
Australia drew their last match against Argentina 16-16 while the French lost their last game against Scotland 27-23.
There will be some key battles in this match but the halfback’s duel will decide this match. Both these teams have solid defensive structures so the team that can get their backline to work better will win. The French seem to have the slight advantage here although they have a debut full back in Melvyn Jaminet. This guy has been playing in the French second division and now is making his international debut and you can expect the Aussies to test his aerial skills early on. The French have the right mix in the midfield with the lightning fast Arthur Vincent complimenting the big strong running Jonathan Danty. The overall experience in the Aussie team will see them through especially in the last 20 minutes. The replacements will win it for the home team therefore I predict a Aussie win by 3 points
- Probable Starting XVs
15 Tom Banks, 14 Tom Wright, 13 Hunter Paisami, 12 Matt To’omua, 11 Marika Koroibete, 10 Noah Lolesio, 9 Jake Gordon, 8 Harry Wilson, 7 Michael Hooper (c), 6 Rob Valetini, 5 Lukhan Salakaia-Loto, 4 Matt Philip, 3 Allan Alaalatoa, 2 Brandon Paenga-Amosa, 1 James Slipper
15 Melvyn Jaminet, 14 Damian Penaud, 13 Arthur Vincent, 12 Jonathan Danty, 11 Gabin Villiere, 10 Louis Carbonel, 9 Baptiste Couilloud, 8 Sekou Macalou, 7 Anthony Jelonch (c), 6 Dylan Cretin, 5 Romain Taofifenua, 4 Killian Geraci, 3 Demba Bamba, 2 Gaëtan Barlot, 1 Jean-Baptiste Gros
Odds for this bet
The best odds on the Australian victory are as follows:
Odds comparison on the France handicap:
The complete odds on the France handicap:
Gbets (+10.5) 1.85
Sunbet (+10.5) 1.85
Playabets (+10.5) 1.80
Predictions and Odds in details
The French showed their depth when their second string team held England to a draw in the Autumn Cup final. The Aussies must not be complacent as the French team will punish them with the dangerous backs. The aerial battle will be fierce as both teams are excellent in the air. Australia has their inspirational captain Hooper back and his leadership will prove the difference in this match. The French will need to be at their defensive best early on to prevent the home team from building a lead. They will not be able to match the Aussies in the final quarter as their bench strength is far superior to the French. The French coach has instilled an air of confidence in whatever team takes the field therefore this match will be tightly contested. The bookies are offering poor returns on the Aussie win therefore I suggest the French on the generous handicap. The best odds on the French handicap are as follows: Gbets (+10.5) 1.85, Sunbet (+10.5) 1.85 and Playabets (+10.5) 1.80
Sports crazy fan that follows all major sport but the game with the oval ball is my real passion. Was an age level rugby coach and a huge supporter of the Springboks and diehard Liverpool man. I’m an experienced punter and sports writer whose predictions/tips are sure to stir up the emotions. I love the occasional wager on the underdog.