07-08-2021 Daily Predictions British & Irish Lions Tour South Africa vs British & Irish Lions

South Africa vs British & Irish Lions

The Springboks bounced back convincingly to beat the Lions in the second test. This sets up the finale in the third test with the Springboks having the momentum. The bad news for the home team is that  two of their key players Faf De Klerk and Pieter-Steph Du Toit are out with injury. They have able replacements in Cobus Reinach and Lood De Jager but they are world class players. The Lions have also made quite a few changes but I don’t think they will have the power to best the Boks. This series has shown that it is not one for the backline players to shine and we can again expect a lot of kicking. The Man of the Match from the previous game Makazole Mapimpi will again be a key man as he showed how strong he is in the air. His wing partner Cheslin Kolbe has not had a good series but this could be the match that he unleashes his great attacking skills. The Lions seem intent on kicking all day long and this has played into the Boks hands as they have dominated the aerial contests. The visitors will be desperate to win their first series in this country since 1997 but I can’t see that happening as the Boks have hit form at the right time.

TIP:The leadership of Siya Kolisi in the last test match was excellent and his overall play made him one of the players of the match. The Lions seem to have only one game plan and that is to kick at every opportunity. This has made for a boring series but the Boks showed that by playing to their forwards strength they can over power the Lions. The Boks driving maul was best to its best and the Lions had no answer to it. Another area where we saw the Boks was the scrum especially in the second half when Nyakane and Marx came on. The South Africans will be without key players but they will still have too much in the tank against the one dimensional Lions. The bookies have the Boks as the slight favourites and I am in agreement with them. The best odds on the Springbok victory are as follows: Worldsportsbetting 1.65, Playabets 1.61 and Sunbet 1.61

HEAD TO HEAD STATS

South Africa vs British & Irish Lions

  • In the last five matches there have been three Bok wins to the Lions two..
  • South Africa won the last series between the sides in 2009 by 2-1 scoreline.

Latest results for both teams

The Springboks won the last match between the sides 27-9.

PREDICTION

The Boks will be keen to get their backline stars like Kolbe and Mapimpi more involved as these wingers are brilliant in attack and have great try scoring records. The Lions have made changes to their backline as they hope Liam Williams and Josh Adams will be better at catching the high balls. I think this is a major flaw as both these players will struggle against the aerial bombardment they will face. The form of Eben Etzebeth will again be a major factor as he easily dominated Maro Itoje and the Lions skipper Alun Wyn Jones. He is the man to get the Boks on the front foot and we can expect another huge match from him. The halfback pairing of the Boks will see Reinach and Pollard play together and this could well be a blessing in disguise for the Boks as they both play for Montpellier and will have a great understanding. The Boks have peaked at the right time and I predict a Springbok win by 10 points.

  • Probable Starting XVs

South Africa

15 Willie le Roux, 14 Cheslin Kolbe, 13 Lukhanyo Am, 12 Damian de Allende, 11 Makazole Mapimpi, 10 Handré Pollard, 9 Cobus Reinach, 8 Jasper Wiese, 7 Franco Mostert, 6 Siya Kolisi (c), 5 Lood de Jager, 4 Eben Etzebeth, 3 Frans Malherbe, 2 Bongi Mbonambi, 1 Steven Kitshoff

British & Irish Lions

15 Liam Williams, 14 Josh Adams, 13 Robbie Henshaw, 12 Bundee Aki, 11 Duhan van der Merwe, 10 Dan Biggar, 9 Ali Price, 8 Jack Conan, 7 Tom Curry, 6 Courtney Lawes, 5 Alun Wyn Jones (c), 4 Maro Itoje, 3 Tadhg Furlong, 2 Ken Owens, 1 Wyn Jones

Odds for this bet

The best odds on the Springbok victory are as follows:

Worldsportsbetting 1.65

Playabets 1.65

Sunbet 1.61

Odds comparison on the Springbok handicap victory :

The complete odds on the Springbok handicap victory:

Worldsportsbetting (-3.5) 1.90

Sunbet (-3.5) 1.97

Playabets (-2.5) 1.81

Predictions and Odds in details

The British press and Lions Coach Warren Gatland have been pointing at many areas that they feel the Boks are slowing the game down and are playing boring rugby. This is the opposite as the Lions only want to kick and the Boks scoring tries shows their intent to attack. There will be many mind games in the final but the Boks will want to start fast and hope that they bench can again dominate the tired Lions players. The Lions seem to have panicked after the loss and making so many changes will only disrupt the team. Players like Williams have only played a few matches on tour so we can expect him to be rusty and the Boks will look to take advantage of this. As always Pollard will have a key role to play for the Boks with his positional kicking and more importantly his goal kicking. The Boks offer decent returns on the outright victory but I suggest the Boks on the handicap victory. The best odds on this bet are available at Worldsportsbetting (-3.5) 1.90, Sunbet (-3.5) 1.97 and Playabets (-2.5) 1.81

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