09-12-2023 Daily Predictions European Champions Cup Toulon vs Exeter

Toulon vs Exeter Chiefs

Former winners Toulon and Exeter meet in this first round match of the Champions Cup. The French giants will be hoping to rekindle the magic of the days when they were unbeatable on their home patch. The visitors have been in excellent form this season at Sandy Park but have struggled on their travels. Toulon have had a mixed season but have looked good in their recent matches after the return of their international players. Exeter will need to start well as it is an almost impossible to play catch up on Toulon’s home turf. The match will be decided in the forwards and the home side have the advantage in this area.

TIP: Toulan have a team of super stars highlighted by Fijian national captain Waisea Nayacalevu who is arguably the best outside centre in the game presently. Exeter will need to be accurate with their kicking game as Toulon have dangerous counter attackers who will punish wayward kicking. The visitor’s traditional strength has been their rolling maul but it has not fired this season. This is will be best possible time for the maul to finally come good. The bookies have Toulon as favorites and I’m also tipping them for the win. The best odds on this bet are as follows: Betway 1.18, Gbets 1.18 and Hollywoodbets 1.19

HEAD-TO-HEAD STATS

Toulon vs Exeter Chiefs

  • These teams have met twice before with Toulon winning on both occasions.

Latest results for both teams

Toulon beat Pau 36-13 in their last match while the Chiefs lost 41-24 to Bath in their last match.

PREDICTION

The home team will be looking to their powerhouse front row to dominate the scrums and gain them penalties as Exeter are weak in this area. Toulon play a very attacking game that is difficult to contain if they get good ruck ball therefore the likes of Jacques Vermeulen and Ethan Roots will need to disrupt their ball before its recycled. There are a number of inexperienced players in the Exeter team and it will be a baptism of fire for them especially in the set pieces. The home team will want a bonus point win otherwise they will be disappointed. I am predicting a home win by more than 17 points.

Probable Starting XVs

Toulon  

15 Domon M. 14 Tuicuvu S. 13 Nayacalevu W. 12 Smaili M. 11 Villiere G. 10 Herve E. 9 Serin B. 8 Isa F. 7 Le Corvec M. 6 Ribbans D. 5 Halagahu M. 4 Abadie E. 3 Gigashvili B. 2 Tolofua C. 1 Priso D

Exeter Chiefs

15 Tommy Wyatt, 14 Olly Woodburn, 13 Henry Slade, 12 Joe Hawkins, 11 Ben Hammersley, 10 Harvey Skinner, 9 Stu Townsend, 8 Greg Fisilau, 7 Jacques Vermeulen, 6 Ethan Roots, 5 Lewis Pearson, 4 Dafydd Jenkins (c), 3 Josh Iosefa-Scott, 2 Jack Yeandle, 1 Nika Abuladze

Odds for this bet

The best odds on the Toulon victory are as follows:

Betway 1.18

Gbets 1.18

Hollywoodbets 1.19

Odds comparison on the Toulon handicap:

The complete odds on the Toulon handicap:

Betway 1.90 (-15.5)

Gbets 1.87 (-15.5)

Hollywoodbets 1.89 (-15.5)

Predictions and Odds in details

There are poor odds on the Toulon outright win but if you are looking for better odds then we suggest backing the home team on the handicap. The best odds on this bet are as follows: Betway 1.90 (-15.5), Gbets 1.87 (-15.5) and Hollywoodbets 1.89 (-15.5)

Other tips for the weekend (Predicted winners are in BOLD text)

Toulon vs Exeter Chiefs

Bath vs Ulster

Toulouse vs Cardiff

Munster vs Bayonne

Bristol vs Lyon

La Rochelle vs Leinster

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