11-06-2021 Daily Predictions Super Rugby Trans Tasman Hurricanes Vs Reds

Hurricanes Vs Reds

Both these teams come into this match knowing they have no chance of the finals so they will be playing for pride. The Hurricanes will want to put on a show for their home fans in their final game. They will rue the loss to the Brumbies in the last match and star player Jordie Barrett will wonder how he missed to late penalty kicks to win the match. It shows that pressure can force even the best players into errors. The Reds were rocked on the day of their last match with news that two players, Bryce Hegarty and Captain James O’Connor picked up injuries in the warm ups. This forced major changes to the backline and they actually performed admirably against the log leading Blues. Since there isn’t much on the line in this match we should see a nice open running game and this will suit the Hurricanes. Barrett will want to bounce back from his miss kicks and spark the Hurricanes backline into action. They have threats all around the team with Ngani Laumape and Salesi Rayasi always dangerous. Laumape in particular will want to leave his mark on the game as this is his last match before leaving NZ. The player that has surprised everybody is Julian Savea who has returned to the form of old and looks to have gained his pace and power. This will be double trouble for the Reds as his brother Ardie is also back from injury. The Reds will need to use their powerful forwards as they seem to have the edge in terms of the scrum. The powerful Taniela Tupou will want to continue his excellent form this season in both the scrums and in open play.

TIP: The Hurricanes have the best defence in SR Trans-Tasman and the Reds attack will need to be in sync to break them down. The home team have the most mobile front row in the competition with both Asafo Aumua Xavier Numia both boasting the speed of wingers. Aumua has been in great trying scoring form and is unstoppable close to the line. The return of Ruben Love at flyhalf should provide the Hurricanes with that attacking impetus that was missed when he was out injured. The bookies have the Hurricanes as favourites and I will have to agree with them. The best odds on the Hurricanes victory can be found at Worldsportsbetting 1.25, Playabets 1.16 and Sunbet 1.25

HEAD TO HEAD STATS

Hurricanes vs Reds

  • The Hurricanes have won the last five matches between these teams.
  • The Reds have never beaten the Hurricanes at home.
  • The last time the Reds beat the Hurricanes was in 2013.

Latest results for both teams

The Hurricanes lost their last match against the Brumbies 12-10 while the Reds lost their last match against the Blues 31-24.

PREDICTION

The final home game should see a good crowd in and this will inspire the Hurricanes to put in a great performance. The Savea brothers in tandem are a sight to behold and they will want to run the Reds rampant. The Hurricanes have a super strong bench with the likes of Dane Coles and Rayasi to come on later in the game. The scrum is the one area the Reds will attack but the All Black Tyrell Lomax should be able to handle the threats. The one position that still is a problem for the Hurricanes is scrumhalf as they still not found a worthy replacement for TJ Perenara. I have said this many times that Barrett must not move from his fullback position as he is most dangerous when given space. The Hurricanes will comfortably win this and I predict a victory margin of more than 12 points

  • Probable Starting XVs

Hurricanes

15 Jordie Barrett, 14 Julian Savea, 13 Billy Proctor, 12 Ngani Laumape, 11 Salesi Rayasi, 10 Ruben Love, 9 Luke Campbell, 8 Ardie Savea (captain), 7 Du’Plessis Kirifi, 6 Devan Flanders, 5 Scott Scrafton, 4 James Blackwell, 3 Tyrel Lomax, 2 Asafo Aumua, 1 Xavier Numia.

Reds

15 Bryce Hegarty, 14 Suliasi Vunivalu, 13 Hunter Paisami, 12 Isaac Henry, 11 Filipo Daugunu, 10 James O’Connor (co-captain), 9 Tate McDermott, 8 Harry Wilson, 7 Liam Wright (co-captain), 6 Angus Scott-Young, 5 Lukhan Salakaia-Loto, 4 Ryan Smith, 3 Taniela Tupou, 2 Brandon Paenga-Amosa, 1 Feao Fotuaika.

Odds for this bet

The best odds on the Hurricanes victory are as follows:

Worldsportsbetting 1.25

Playabets 1.16

Sunbet 1.25

Odds comparison on the Hurricanes handicap:

The complete odds on the Hurricanes handicap:

Worldsportsbetting (-11.5) 1.90

Sunbet (-12.5) 1.85

Playabets (-11.5) 1.90

Predictions and Odds in details

The Reds have shown that they are poor travelers therefore I foresee a comfortable home victory. The Reds are generally very slow starters in games but made great comebacks in SR AU but the quality of opposition in this competition is at a much higher level. Teams cannot hope to fall behind and play catch up as the Reds have unsuccessfully tried to do. They will need their attackers like Hunter Paisami and Filipo Daugunu to provide the linebreaks and off loads to crack open this miserly defence. The player that sparks the Reds is Tate McDermott and when he is on form then the team performs well. The Reds will need their kicking game to be pin point as the Hurricanes love attacking from their own half. The Bookies are not offering great odds on the Hurricanes outright victory therefore I suggest the home team on the handicap. The complete odds on the Hurricanes handicap: Worldsportsbetting (-11.5) 1.90, Sunbet (-12.5) 1.85 and Playabets (-11.5) 1.90

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