12-11-2022 Daily Predictions International Rugby Italy vs Australia

Italy vs Australia

Italy entered their last match against Samoa as slight favorites but they went on to blow the opposition away and led 28-0 at halftime. They will not have it all their own way in this match as they come up against an Australian side that were desperately unlucky to lose 30-29 to France. Only a brilliant late try by Damian Penaud denied them an excellent win. Italy will welcome the news that electric fullback Ange Capuozzo is back in the team and he will be the player to watch in the home team’s backline.

TIP:  Australia have made plenty of changes for this match as they prepare to face an Italian side they last played in 2018 when they won 26-7. A lot has changed since then as the Azzurri have got a number of new recruits which also includes a new coach. The home team will be looking for a fast start against an Aussie team with a number of players who have not played in a while. The bookies have Australia as favourites and I am also tipping them for the win. The best odds on this bet are as follows: Worldsportsbetting 1.12, Playabets 1.13 and Sunbet 1.12

HEAD TO HEAD STATS

Italy vs Australia

  • Australia have won the last six matches against Italy.
  • The closest the Italians came to beating the Wallabies was in 2012 when they lost 22-19.

Latest results for both teams

Italy beat Samoa 49-17 in their last match while Australia lost 30-29 to France in their last match.

PREDICTION

Italy looked a different side in the last match and no doubt their win in the Six Nations over Wales gave them the confidence to play an expansive game. In the past they relied on their bruising forwards and tried to grind out wins with no success. The playmaker in the team is Paolo Garbisi and he has a wealth of attacking talent in his backline with players like Capuozzo and Monty Ioane. Australia also love running the ball so we should see an open exciting match with plenty of tries. The visitors will look to the returning Noah Lolesio to spark their exciting backline. I am predicting a Wallabies win by five points.

  • Probable Starting XVs

Italy

15 Ange Capuozzo, 14 Pierre Bruno, 13 Juan Ignacio Brex, 12 Luca Morisi, 11 Montanna Ioane, 10 Paolo Garbisi, 9 Stephen Varney, 8 Lorenzo Cannone, 7 Michele Lamaro (c), 6 Sebastian Negri, 5 Federico Ruzza, 4 Niccolo Cannone, 3 Simone Ferrari, 2 Giacomo Nicotera, 1 Danilo Fischetti

Australia

15 Jock Campbell, 14 Mark Nawaqanitawase, 13 Len Ikitau, 12 Hunter Paisami, 11 Tom Wright, 10 Noah Lolesio, 9 Jake Gordon, 8 Pete Samu, 7 Fraser McReight, 6 Ned Hanigan, 5 Will Skelton, 4 Nick Frost, 3 Allan Alaalatoa (c), 2 Folau Fainga’a, 1 Matt Gibbon

Odds for this bet

The best odds on the Australia victory are as follows:

Worldsportsbetting 1.12

Playabets 1.13

Sunbet 1.12

Odds comparison on the Italy handicap:

The complete odds on the Italy handicap:

Worldsportsbetting (+13.5) 1.90

Sunbet (+13.5) 1.90

Playabets (+13.5) 1.91

Predictions and Odds in details

There is very poor returns on the Australia outright win therefore we suggest the home team on the handicap for better odds. The best odds on this bet are as follows: Worldsportsbetting (+13.5) 1.90, Sunbet (+13.5) 1.90 and Playabets (+13.5) 1.91

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