13/07 Daily Predictions Rugby International Test Australia vs Wales

Australia vs Wales

Australia will play host to Wales at the AAMI Stadium in Melbourne for the second match of the series. The home team scored a 25-16 victory in the first test and will be looking to clinch the series with another win while the visitors will be desperate to end their nine game winless run. The Wallabies skipper from the first match Liam Wright is out with injury so veteran James Slipper will skipper the side. Charlie Cale comes into the starting XV at number eight with a reshuffle in the back line. Wales have had disappointing news in that their best player from the last match Aaron Wainwright is out injured. James Botham comes in to the team to replace him.

TIP: The man that holds the key to the Wallabies attacking threat is Noah Lolesio. If the flyhalf and link up his dangerous backline that includes players like Tom Wright and Andrew Kellaway then the visitors could be in trouble. The former scored one of the tries of the year when he ran sixty meters and ultimately clinched the game for Australia. Wales will again look to their driving maul as this was a big weapon for them in the first test and were unlucky when they had a try ruled out from a maul. The bookies have the Aussies as favorites and I am also backing them for the win. The best odds on this bet are as follows: Tictacbets 1.22, Playabets 1.22 and Bettabets 1.22

HEAD-TO-HEAD STATS

Australia vs Wales

  • Wales have won four of the last six matches between the sides.
  • The last time Australia lost at home to Wales was in 2014.

Latest results for both teams

Australia beat Wales 25-16 in these team’s last match.  

PREDICTION

The Wallabies will be targeting the scrums especially when they have their two best props Taniela Tupou and Slipper on the field. They dominated the Welsh front row but there was a massive drop in power when the replacement front rows came on. Wales are in a rebuilding phase and have continued with Tom Jordan in the flyhalf position despite him only playing the twice in his career. Australia will be more cohesive in attack and this could spell danger for the visitors as the home side left a lot of try scoring opportunities in the first test. Wales will be looking for an aerial bombardment as they have two excellent high ball specialists in Liam Williams and Cameron Winnett. I am predicting a home win by 15 points.

Probable Starting XVs

Australia

15 Tom Wright, 14 Andrew Kellaway, 13 Josh Flook, 12 Hunter Paisami, 11 Filipo Daugunu, 10 Noah Lolesio, 9 Jake Gordon, 8 Charlie Cale, 7 Fraser McReight, 6 Rob Valetini, 5 Lukhan Salakaia-Loto, 4 Jeremy Williams, 3 Taniela Tupou, 2 Matt Faessler, 1 James Slipper (c)

Wales

15 Cameron Winnett, 14 Liam Williams, 13 Owen Watkin, 12 Mason Grady, 11 Rio Dyer, 10 Ben Thomas, 9 Ellis Bevan, 8 Taine Plumtree, 7 Tommy Reffell, 6 James Botham, 5 Dafydd Jenkins, 4 Christ Tshiunza, 3 Archie Griffin, 2 Dewi Lake (c), 1 Gareth Thomas

Odds for this bet

The best odds on the Australia victory are as follows:

Tictacbets 1.22

Playabets 1.22

Bettabets 1.22

Odds comparison on the Australia handicap:

The complete odds on the Australia handicap:

Tictacbets 1.90 (-10.5)

Playabets 1.87 (-10.5)  

Bettabets 1.89 (-10.5)

Predictions and Odds in details

There are poor odds on the Australia outright win therefore we suggest the home team on the handicap for better odds. The best odds on this bet are as follows: Tictacbets 1.90 (-10.5),Playabets 1.87 (-10.5) and Bettabets 1.89 (-10.5)

Other tips for the weekend (Predicted winners are in BOLD text)

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Australia vs Wales

South Africa vs Ireland

Argentina vs France

Valke vs EP

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