Scotland vs South Africa
Scotland welcome the Springboks to Murrayfield for this Autumn International Test Match. Both teams scored narrow wins in their last test match. The hosts overcame Australia 15-13 while the Boks beat Wales 23-18. The Scots can consider themselves lucky to have won as the referee wrongly disallowed a Wallabies try. The Springboks have made several changes but the key change is at ten where Elton Jantjies takes over from Handre Pollard. Pollard has paid the price for a string of poor performances. The Scots have made only one change bringing in Rufus McLean on the wing and this is a good change as this guy is lightning quick with a great sidestep.
TIP: Scotland have only beaten South Africa once in their last ten test matches but they will fancy their chances in this match as the Springboks have a few key players out or out of form. The one surprising selection by the Scots is the benching of Lion Hamish Watson arguably their best player. This however could be seen as a tactic to counter the Boks notorious Bomb Squad in the second half. The bookies have the Boks as favourites and I also tip them for the win. The best odds on this bet are as follows: Worldsportsbetting 1.45, Playabets 1.47 and Sunbet 1.49
HEAD TO HEAD STATS
Scotland vs South Africa
- The Boks have won the last seven matches against Scotland.
- The last time Scotland beat the Boks was in 2010.
- The last match between the sides was won 26-20 by the Boks.
Latest results for both teams
Scotland beat Australia 15-13 in their last match while the Boks beat Wales 23-18 in their last match.
The Scottish team looked very strong against the Aussies particularly in the forwards and this is a good sign before facing the Springboks. In order to defeat the Boks the forwards have to stand up against a formidable Bok pack and scrum. The Scottish will look to Finn Russell to fire up their dangerous backline while the Boks will be relying on the playmaking ability of Jantjies. The number 10 is at his best when he is playing behind a dominant pack and this was very evident in his days with the Lions in Super Rugby. I expect the Boks to dominate in the scrums and with their driving maul. They will secure the victory on the final quarter as they have the stronger bench. The Boks to win by more than 6 points
Probable Starting XVs
15 Stuart Hogg (c), 14 Rufus McLean, 13 Chris Harris, 12 Matt Scott, 11 Duhan van der Merwe, 10 Finn Russell, 9 Ali Price, 8 Matt Fagerson, 7 Jamie Ritchie, 6 Nick Haining, 5 Grant Gilchrist, 4 Sam Skinner, 3 Zander Fagerson, 2 Stuart McInally, 1 Pierre Schoeman
15 Willie le Roux, 14 Jesse Kriel, 13 Lukhanyo Am, 12 Damian de Allende, 11 Makazole Mapimpi, 10 Elton Jantjies, 9 Herschel Jantjies, 8 Duane Vermeulen, 7 Kwagga Smith, 6 Siya Kolisi (c), 5 Franco Mostert, 4 Eben Etzebeth, 3 Trevor Nyakane, 2 Bongi Mbonambi, 1 Ox Nché
Odds for this bet
The best odds on the South African victory are as follows:
Odds comparison on the South African handicap victory:
The complete odds on the South African handicap victory:
Worldsportsbetting (-6.5) 1.90
Sunbet (-4.5) 1.90
Playabets (-4.5) 1.81
Predictions and Odds in details
The Scotland team have two incredible wingers in McLean and Lion Duhan van der Merwe although they are very different type of players they are equally dangerous. I feel that the area the Boks are weak at is wing where Jesse Kriel is playing out of position. The Welsh exposed him last match and no doubt he will be tested aerially once again. The Boks game plan is simple, dominate with the forwards and finish them off with their powerful bench. The Scots need to be leading at half time or else they will find it very difficult to win this match due to the Boks substitutes. There are decent returns on the Boks win but I suggest the visitors on the handicap. The best odds on this bet are as follows: Worldsportsbetting (-6.5) 1.90, Sunbet (-4.5) 1.90 and Playabets (-4.5) 1.81
Sports crazy fan that follows all major sport but the game with the oval ball is my real passion. Was an age level rugby coach and a huge supporter of the Springboks and diehard Liverpool man. I’m an experienced punter and sports writer whose predictions/tips are sure to stir up the emotions. I love the occasional wager on the underdog.