14-10-2022 Daily Predictions United Rugby Championship Connacht vs Leinster

Connacht vs Leinster

Connacht had a disastrous start to their season with three defeats in their opening three matches but in defence of them all these matches were against strong teams and more importantly they were all on the road. They claimed their first win of the season in style as they beat Munster 20-11 in Galway to delight their home fans. Leinster have had a perfect start to the season with four bonus point wins. The last of these wins came against the Sharks as they easily beat the South African side 54-34.

TIP: Leinster have dominated this fixture in recent years winning nine of the last ten. Connacht will be desperate to gain their first win over Leinster since the 2018 season. The visitors have rested captain Jonny Sexton for this match but have recalled Irish internationals Josh van der Flier and Tadhg Furlong for this match. This will be Furlong’s first start of the season. The bookies have Leinster as favourites and I am also tipping them for the win. The best odds on this bet are as follows: Worldsportsbetting 1.22, Playabets 1.25 and Sunbet 1.25


Connacht vs Leinster

  • Leinster have won the last five matches between these sides.
  • Connacht have only won one of the last ten matches between these sides.
  • The last time Connacht beat Leinster was in 2018.

Latest results for both teams

Connacht beat Munster 20-11 in their last match while Leinster beat the Sharks 54-34 in their last match.


The Connacht team showed a lot of heart in their last match against Munster and will once again need their defence to be in top form. Leinster were in brilliant attacking form in the last match with Garry Ringrose in particular being in sparkling form after coming on early as a replacement. The Leinster team certainly has the advantage in the forwards pack therefore the home team will be looking to avoid too many set pieces. Connacht will be looking to their experienced wingers to attack the young wingers on the Leinster team especially in the aerial contests. We are expecting Leinster to win by 6 points.

  • Probable Starting XVs


15 Conor Fitzgerald, 14 John Porch, 13 Byron Ralston, 12 David Hawkshaw, 11 Mack Hansen, 10 Jack Carty (c), 9 Colm Reilly, 8 Paul Boyle, 7 Shamus Hurley-Langton, 6 Josh Murphy, 5 Gavin Thornbury, 4 Niall Murray, 3 Finlay Bealham, 2 Dave Heffernan, 1 Peter Dooley


15 Jimmy O’Brien, 14 Liam Turner, 13 Garry Ringrose (c), 12 Charlie Ngatai, 11 Rob Russell, 10 Ross Byrne, 9 Cormac Foley, 8 Jack Conan, 7 Josh van der Flier, 6 Caelan Doris, 5 James Ryan, 4 Ross Molony, 3 Tadhg Furlong, 2 Dan Sheehan, 1 Ed Byrne

Odds for this bet

The best odds on the Leinster victory are as follows:

Worldsportsbetting 1.22

Playabets 1.25

Sunbet 1.25

Odds comparison on the Connacht handicap:

The complete odds on the Connacht handicap:

Worldsportsbetting (+11.5) 1.95

Sunbet (+11.5) 1.89

Playabets (+11.5) 1.88

Predictions and Odds in details

There are decent returns on the Leinster outright win therefore we suggest the away team on the handicap for better odds. The best odds on this bet are as follows: Worldsportsbetting (+11.5) 1.95, Sunbet (+11.5) 1.89 and Playabets (+11.5) 1.88

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