14-10-2023 Daily Prediction NPC Bunnings Wellington vs Hawkes Bay

Wellington vs Hawkes Bay

Wellington will have revenge on their minds when they take on Hawkes Bay in this semi-final clash. Two weeks ago the home side lost the Ranfurly Shield after conceding a try in the dying moments of the match. That loss remains their only defeat this season although they have started to show chinks in the armor in recent weeks. Wellington were fortunate to come away with a 32-28 win in the quarter final against Waikato after throwing away a big lead. Hawkes Bay are the comeback kings and in the quarter final they came from 28-12 down to score 26 unanswered points and win 38-28.

TIP: Wellington have started with pretty much the same team throughout the season but the last two matches has seen the return of All Black legend Julian Savea. The veteran has looked off the pace and they will be hoping try scoring machine Los Filipo is fit for this match. Hawkes Bay will know that they cannot continuing giving the opposition big leads as the bubble will eventually burst. They will need to start better if they are to cause an upset. The bookies have Wellington as favorites and I’m also tipping them for the win. The best odds on this bet are as follows: Betway 1.37, Gbets 1.37 and Hollywoodbets 1.37

HEAD-TO-HEAD STATS

Wellington vs Hawkes Bay

  • Wellington have won two of the last three matches against Hawkes Bay.
  • The home team have only won one of the last four matches between the sides.

Latest results for both teams

Wellington beat Waikato 32-28 in their last match while Hawkes Bay beat Bay of Plenty 38-28 in their last match.  

PREDICTION

Wellington will be looking for another fast start as that has been the norm for them this season. They will also be looking for more from their bench as the replacements were very poor in the last match. Hawkes Bay have looked impressive in the latter half of the season with their off-loading game being very difficult to stop. They have been expertly led around the field by Lincoln Mcclutchie and former All Black nine Brad Weber. Their halfback combination is the reason for the resurgence and the home team will do well to stop them from getting time on the ball. We are predicting Wellington to win by more than 10 points.

Probable Starting XVs

Wellington

1. X. Numia 2. J. O’Reilly 3. S. Lauaki 4. C. Delany 5. H. Plummer 6. B. Shields 7. D. Kirifi 8. P. Lakai 9. K. Hauiti-Parapara 10. A. Morgan 11. Julian Savea 12. P. Umaga-Jensen 13. B. Proctor 14. L. Filipo 15. R. Love

Hawkes Bay

1. P. Rakete-Stones 2. K. Kereru-Symes 3. I. Salmon 4. F. Lochore 5. T. Allen 6. J. Gimblett 7. J. Kaifa 8. M. Mikaele Tu’u 9. B. Weber 10. L. Mcclutchie 11. J. Lowe 12. C. Tiatia 13. N. Grigg 14. P. Balekana 15. C. Makene

Odds for this bet

The best odds on the Wellington victory are as follows:

Betway 1.37

Gbets 1.37

Hollywoodbets 1.37

Odds comparison on the Wellington handicap:

The complete odds on the Wellington handicap:

Betway 1.90 (-7.5)

Gbets 1.87 (-7.5)

Hollywoodbets 1.89 (-7.5)

Predictions and Odds in details

There are poor returns on the Wellington outright win therefore we suggest backing the home team on the handicap. The best odds on this bet are as follows: Betway 1.90 (-7.5),Gbets 1.87 (-7.5) and Hollywoodbets 1.89 (-7.5)

Other tips for the weekend (Predicted winners are in BOLD text)

Bristol Bears vs Leicester Tigers

Exeter vs Saracens

Ireland vs New Zealand 

Wales vs Argentina  

France vs South Africa

Fiji vs England

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