15-04-2022 Daily Predictions European Champions Cup Leinster vs Connacht

Leinster vs Connacht

Connacht may have only lost the first leg by five points but will be kicking themselves as they had plenty of opportunities to win the match. They now face an almost impossible task of not only beating Leinster at home but also winning by more than five points. Connacht were at their best in the last match and the man that got them over the advantage line time after time was Bundee Aki. He will again be the main man for the visitors but Leinster are a different beast when they play at home.

TIP: The Leinster pack will be smarting from the last match as they battled to get an advantage over the Connacht forwards. Leinster will surely look to be more adventurous at home in front of a capacity crowd. They won’t be kicking for posts as they will want to stamp their authority on the match as early as possible. Kicking for touch and using the maul will be the order of the day. The bookies have Leinster as favourites and I also tip them for the win. The best odds on this bet are as follows: Worldsportsbetting 1.04, Playabets 1.05 and Sunbet 1.06

HEAD TO HEAD STATS

Leinster vs Connacht

  • Leinster have won four of the last five matches between the sides.
  • Connacht have won twice in their last seven visits to Leinster.
  • The biggest margin of victory for Leinster in this fixture is 47.

Latest results for both teams

Leinster beat Connacht 26-21 in their last match.

PREDICTION

Connacht can expect Leinster to come out all guns blazing and if they can weather the early onslaught then they will have a chance to win this match. If they fall behind early on then it will be very difficult to haul Leinster in. James Lowe will again be the dangerman as he scored two tries in the first leg and was ultimately the difference between the sides. Connacht flyhalf Jack Carty will have a big job on his hand as he will need to decide when to run and when to kick. Leinster will have too much firepower and I predict they will win by under 20 points.

  • Probable Starting XVs

Leinster

15 Hugo Keenan, 14 Jimmy O’Brien, 13 Garry Ringrose, 12 Robbie Henshaw, 11 James Lowe, 10 Johnny Sexton (c), 9 Luke McGrath, 8 Jack Conan, 7 Josh van der Flier, 6 Caelan Doris, 5 Josh Murphy, 4 Ross Molony, 3 Tadhg Furlong, 2 Dan Sheehan, 1 Cian Healy

Connacht

15 Tiernan O’Halloran, 14 John Porch, 13 Tom Farrell, 12 Bundee Aki, 11 Mack Hansen, 10 Jack Carty (c), 9 Kieran Marmion, 8 Jarrad Butler, 7 Conor Oliver, 6 Cian Prendergast, 5 Leva Fifita, 4 Gavin Thornbury, 3 Finlay Bealham, 2 Dave Heffernan, 1 Matthew Burke

Odds for this bet

The best odds on the Leinster victory are as follows:

Worldsportsbetting 1.04

Playabets 1.05

Sunbet 1.06

Odds comparison on the Leinster  handicap :

The complete odds on the Leinster handicap:

Worldsportsbetting (+21.5) 1.90

Sunbet (+21.5) 1.86

Playabets (+21.5) 1.84

Predictions and Odds in details

Leinster will use their forwards to dominate the Connacht pack therefore the visitors will need to match the international laden forwards of Leinster. Connacht will need to play brave rugby and run with the ball because a set piece dominated match will suit Leinster. There are poor odds on the Leinster win therefore we suggest the away team on the handicap for better returns. The best odds on this bet are as follows: Worldsportsbetting (+21.5) 1.90, Sunbet (+21.5) 1.86 and Playabets (+21.5) 1.84

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