16-04-2022 Daily Predictions European Champions Cup Ulster vs Toulouse

Ulster vs Toulouse

Toulouse were shocked in the first leg tie when they lost 26-20 to Ulster. They now need to win the away leg by more than six points to advance. The hero of the first leg for Ulster was winger Robert Baloucoune who scored a hat trick with his final try an intercept where he ran over 60m unopposed. Ulster should be prepared for a barrage from the defending champions and if Ulster can shut them out early in the match then they have a great chance of winning the match. The defence of Ulster will the key in this match

TIP: Toulouse are having one of their worst seasons in recent times and have only won three of their last 13 matches across all competitions. They may look at the sending off in the last match as the reason for their loss but they were not great even with 15 men on the field. It is difficult to understand how a team filled with French internationals are struggling but one of the key areas is flyhalf and Romain Ntamack needs to be better in this match. The bookies have the Toulouse as favourites but I tip Ulster for the upset win. The best odds on this bet are as follows: Worldsportsbetting 2.38 Playabets 2.23 and Sunbet 2.28

HEAD TO HEAD STATS

Ulster vs Toulouse

  • Ulster have won three of their five matches against Toulouse.
  • Toulouse won on their last visit to Ulster in 2020.

Latest results for both teams

Ulster beat Toulouse 26-20 in their last match.

PREDICTION

Ulster have their own array of attacking stars led by Baloucoune but there are also players like Mike Lowry and James Hume that can prove to be deadly if given space to run in. The French side naturally will look to World Player of the Year Anton Dupont for the spark but strangely he was subdued in the last match. Toulouse when they at their beat they use their pack to dominate teams but that will not be easy against an Ulster team that contains international stars like Duane Vermeulen and Iain Henderson. I am predicting Ulster to win by five points.

  • Probable Starting XVs

Ulster

15 Mike Lowry, 14 Robert Baloucoune, 13 James Hume, 12 Stuart McCloskey, 11 Ben Moxham, 10 Billy Burns, 9 John Cooney, 8 Duane Vermeulen, 7 Nick Timoney, 6 Marcus Rea, 5 Iain Henderson (c), 4 Alan O’Connor, 3 Marty Moore, 2 Rob Herring, 1 Eric O’Sullivan

Toulouse

15 Thomas Ramos, 14 Juan Cruz Mallía, 13 Zack Holmes, 12 Pita Ahki, 11 Matthis Lebel, 10 Romain Ntamack, 9 Antoine Dupont (c), 8 Francois Cros, 7 Thibaud Flament, 6 Rynhardt Elstadt, 5 Emmanuel Meafou, 4 Rory Arnold, 3 Dorian Aldegheri, 2 Peato Mauvaka, 1 Rodrigue Neti

Odds for this bet

The best odds on the Ulster victory are as follows:

Worldsportsbetting 2.38

Playabets 2.23

Sunbet 2.28

Odds comparison on the Ulster handicap :

The complete odds on the Ulster handicap:

Worldsportsbetting (+3.5) 1.90

Sunbet (+3.5) 1.87

Playabets (+3.5) 1.86

Predictions and Odds in details

Both these teams fancy the rolling mauls but did not have much success in the first leg but I am sure they will be trying it again. Ulster will have a full house at the Kingspan egging them on. If Ulster can get the first score and build a lead then Toulouse will feel the pressure and crack. There are excellent odds on the Ulster upset win but if you looking for a safety bet then I suggest taking the home team on the handicap. The best odds on this bet are as follows: Worldsportsbetting (+3.5) 1.90, Sunbet (+3.5) 1.87 and Playabets (+3.5) 1.86

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