17-07-2021 Daily Prediction Rugby International New Zealand vs Fiji

New Zealand vs Fiji

The All Blacks were given a wakeup call from Fiji when the islanders started the first test match like a house on fire. The All Blacks showed their class in the last 20 minutes and ran away with the victory. The All Blacks have made multiple changes and are stronger in this match. The addition of players like Will Jordan, Damian McKenzie and Richie Mo’unga makes them even more deadly on attack as they all have pace and power to burn. Fiji has lost their skipper Levan Botia and that is a big blow for them as he was immense in both attack and defence. The man that needs to get more involved is behemoth Nemani Nadolo who had a surprising quiet game in the first test and was substituted just after half time. The most surprising aspect was the ferocity of the Fijians at breakdown where they won multiple turnovers. The selection of Luke Jacobson and Ardie Savea will drastically improve the All Blacks at breakdown time. The home team will have Richie Mo’unga back so we should see the All Blacks back to their attacking best. The Fijians will need to be accurate with their kicking as fly half Ben Volavola was guilty of aimless kicking. His kicks were directly responsible for the All Blacks scoring three tries. Frank Lomani is also selected for Fiji and this should relieve some of the kicking pressure of Volavola. The man that needs to lead from the front is Leone Nakarawa and his experience will be invaluable in this match.

TIP: The All Blacks were caught cold in the first test but I don’t expect that to happen in this match as they have the selected an extremely powerful and fast loose trio. All three of these players are game breakers and Fiji will need to cut their ball supply early or else they could be in for a long night. The All Blacks have the advantage in every department but it’s at half back that I see them totally dominating. Mo’unga and Aaron Smith both read the game so well and they have the best backline in world rugby at their disposal. The likes of Jordan and Sevu Reece are ruthless on the wings and I think that they are going to be running rings around the Fijians. The All Blacks will look to use their forwards to dominate up front to lay the platform for the backs. The bookies have the home team as heavy favourites and I agree. The best odds on the All Blacks victory are as follows: Worldsportsbetting 1.01, Playabets 1.01 and Sunbet 1.01

HEAD TO HEAD STATS

New Zealand vs Fiji

  • The All Blacks have won all three previous encounters against Fiji.
  • The last match was the first time the All Blacks failed to score at least 60 points against Fiji.

Latest results for both teams

The All Blacks beat Fiji 57-23 in the last match.

PREDICTION

The Fijians looked good for 60 minutes but faded badly in the last twenty minutes as the All Blacks scored plenty of points without reply. This test will be different as the home team have selected break down specialist so the Fijians won’t have things their way. The home team will look to attack and lay down a marker early in the contest. The rolling mauls were surprisingly well defended by Fiji until Dane Coles came on in the second half. The All Blacks will no doubt be targeting this area again. The biggest area of concern for the Fijians throughout the first test was the scrums. The All Blacks gained numerous penalties at scrum time that enabled them to gain valuable field position. The scoreline was rather kind to the Fijians as Barrett did not have the greatest day with the boot. I expect the All Blacks to attack from the first whistle and predict a home win by more than 43 points.

  • Probable Starting XVs

New Zealand

15 Damian McKenzie, 14 Will Jordan, 13 Anton Lienert-Brown, 12 David Havili, 11 Sevu Reece, 10 Richie Mo’unga, 9 Aaron Smith, 8 Luke Jacobson, 7 Ardie Savea, 6 Akira Ioane, 5 Samuel Whitelock (c), 4 Scott Barrett, 3 Nepo Laulala, 2 Codie Taylor, 1 George Bower

Fiji

15 Kini Murimurivalu, 14 Setareki Tuicuvu, 13 Waisea Nayacalevu, 12 Eneriko Buliruarua, 11 Nemani Nadolo, 10 Ben Volavola, 9 Frank Lomani, 8 Peceli Yato, 7 Mesulame Kunavula, 6 Johnny Dyer, 5 Leone Nakarawa (c), 4 Temo Mayanavanua, 3 Mesake Doge, 2 Sam Matavesi, 1 Peni Ravai

Odds for this bet

The best odds on the All Blacks victory are as follows:

Worldsportsbetting 1.01

Playabets 1.01

Sunbet 1.01

Odds comparison on the All Blacks handicap victory:

The complete odds on the All Blacks handicap victory:

Worldsportsbetting (-40.5) 1.90

Playabets (-40.5) 1.82

Sunbet (-40.5) 1.89

Predictions and Odds in details

The most daunting of tasks await Fiji because this is the strongest looking All Blacks backline that I have seen in many years. The most dangerous back from the last game was David Havili and in this match he has Anton Lienert-Brown as his centre partner. These two players are great at attacking and freeing up the wingers. One of the best Fiji players was Eroni Sau and sadly he will miss this match due to injury. The Fijians were very weak at exiting their 22m area and hopefully they have worked on a strategy to fix this problem. The All Blacks are relentless when it comes to closing them down and the visitors will need Lomani to assist his fly half with exit kicks. The selection of the strongest possible All Black team means they are going to be ruthless therefore I expect a landslide victory for them. There is no money on the All Blacks victory therefore I suggest the handicap victory bet on them. The best odds on this bet are as follows: Worldsportsbetting (-40.5) 1.90, Playabets (-40.5) 1.82 and Sunbet (-40.5) 1.89

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