17-09-2023 Daily Predictions Rugby World Cup 2023 England vs Japan

England vs Japan  

England and Japan meet in this second round Pool D encounter at the Rugby World Cup. The Three Lions were superb in their 27-10 victory over Argentina in the opening match despite playing with 14 men for almost the whole match. They were unlucky to have Ben Curry sent off, with the flanker now suspended for two matches.

The Brave Blossoms eventually saw of the challenge of Chile 42-12 in their match but the scoreline flatters them as they only pulled away in the last quarter. They will again look to their impressive bench to see them to an upset win.

TIP: Jack Willis is the most like for like replacement for Ben Curry especially with his skills at winning turnovers at the breakdown. There should not be too many other changes but there is a possibility for the change to come in the front row. Japan will be looking to play their high paced game and avoid too many rucks. There is a possibility of Lomano Lemeki coming into the starting XV after his heroics off the bench. The bookies have England as favorites and I’m also tipping them for the win. The best odds on this bet are as follows: Betway 1.03, Gbets 1.03 and Hollywoodbets 1.03

HEAD-TO-HEAD STATS

England vs Japan 

  • England have won the three previous matches between the teams.
  • The average margin of victory in those three matches were 37 points.

Latest results for both teams

England beat Argentina 27-10 in their opening match while Japan defeated Chile 42-12 in their last match.   

PREDICTION

The performance of the opening weekend came from England flyhalf George Ford as he kicked three drop goals and six penalties to score all 27 of his teams’ points in their victory. He will again be the key man along with Freddie Steward in keeping the Japanese pinned deep in their own half with their siege gun boots. The Brave Blossoms can expect an aerial assault as their opponents are going to continue with their tactics from the last match. They will need to find a way to diffuse the high bombs or else England will take control of the match. I am predicting an England win by 15 points.

Probable Starting XVs

England  

15 Freddie Steward, 14 Jonny May, 13 Joe Marchant, 12 Manu Tuilagi, 11 Elliot Daly, 10 George Ford, 9 Alex Mitchell, 8 Ben Earl, 7 Jack Willis, 6 Courtney Lawes (c), 5 Ollie Chessum, 4 Maro Itoje, 3 Dan Cole, 2 Jamie George, 1 Ellis Genge

Japan  

15 Semisi Masirewa; 14 Kotaro Matsushima, 13 Dylan Riley, 12 Ryoto Nakamura, 11 Jone Naikabula; 10 Rikiya Matsuda, 9 Yutaka Nagare; 8 Jack Cornelsen, 7 Kanji Shimokawa, 6 Michael Leitch, 5 Amato Fakatava, 4 Amanaki Saumaki, 3 Jiwon Gu, 2 Atsushi Sakate, 1 Keita Inagaki

Odds for this bet

The best odds on the England victory are as follows:

Betway 1.03

Gbets 1.03

Hollywoodbets 1.03

Odds comparison on the Japan handicap:

The complete odds on the Japan handicap:

Betway 1.90 (+22.5)

Gbets 1.87 (+22.5)

Hollywoodbets 1.89 (+22.5)

Predictions and Odds in details

There is no money to be made on the England outright win therefore we suggest backing Japan on the handicap. The best odds on this bet are as follows: Betway 1.90 (+22.5),Gbets 1.87 (+22.5), Hollywoodbets 1.89 (+22.5)

Other tips for the weekend (Predicted winners are in BOLD text)

New Zealand vs Namibia

Ireland vs Tonga

Samoa vs Chile

Australia vs Fiji

South Africa vs Romania  

Wales vs Portugal

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