19-01-2024 Daily Predictions European Champions Cup Connacht Vs Bristol

Connacht vs Bristol

Connacht welcome Bristol to Galway for this final round match of Group 1 in the Champions Cup. The home team have had a disastrous campaign to date, having lost all three of their matches and have almost no chance of qualifying for the knockout stage. They will need to beat Bristol with a four try bonus point and deny the visitors a losing bonus point. That alone will not be enough as they require Saracens to lose at home to Lyon, a highly unlikely scenario. Bristol needs a win and also need Saracens to lose if they are to qualify.

TIP: The most realistic hope for both teams is to try and secure a Challenge Cup berth for finishing in fourth place. For Connacht to achieve this is very difficult as Bristol only need a bonus point to confirm at least fourth place. It remains to be seen if the home team select their strongest XV after seconding a largely second-string team to Lyon last week. Bristol on the other hand will want to bounce back from their embarrassing home defeat to an under-strength Bulls team last week. The bookies have Connacht as favorites and I’m also tipping them for the win. The best odds on this bet are as follows: Betway 1.56, Gbets 1.57 and Hollywoodbets 1.55

HEAD-TO-HEAD STATS

Connacht vs Bristol

  • Bristol won the only previous match between the sides.

Latest results for both teams

Lyon beat Connacht 34-20 in their last match while Bristol were beaten 31-17 by the Bulls.

PREDICTION

Connacht have been one of the toughest teams to beat on their home patch but that form went up in smoke in this competition as they were thrashed by Bordeaux in the opening round and never quite recovered from that. They will be looking to their stars like Bundee Aki and Jack Carty to provide them with that missing spark especially in attack. Bristol have blown hot and cold this season and its difficult to predict which team will turn up on the day. The match will be decided in the forwards and Connacht have the edge in this departments as the visitors are missing a few players through injury. I predict a home win by 9 points.

Probable Starting XVs

Connacht  

15 Jack Carty, 14 Byron Ralston, 13 Cathal Forde, 12 Bundee Aki, 11 Andrew Smith, 10 JJ Hanrahan, 9 Caolin Blade, 8 Seán Jansen, 7 Shamus Hurley-Langton, 6 Cian Prendergast, 5 Joe Joyce, 4 Darragh Murray, 3 Finlay Bealham, 2 Dave Heffernan, 1 Denis Buckley.

Bristol

15 Max Malins, 14 Gabriel Ibitoye, 13 Virimi Vakatawa, 12 Benhard Janse van Rensburg, 11 Rich Lane, 10 Callum Sheedy, 9 Harry Randall, 8 Magnus Bradbury, 7 Fitz Harding (captain), 6 Steven Luatua, 5 Joe Batley, 4 James Dun, 3 Kyle Sinckler, 2 Harry Thacker, 1 Jake Woolmore

Odds for this bet

The best odds on the Connacht victory are as follows:

Betway 1.56

Gbets 1.57

Hollywoodbets 1.5-5

Odds comparison on the Connacht handicap:

The complete odds on the Connacht handicap:

Betway 1.90 (-4.5)

Gbets 1.87 (-4.5)

Hollywoodbets 1.89 (-4.5)

Predictions and Odds in details

There are poor odds on the Connacht outright win therefore we suggest backing them on the handicap. The best odds on this bet are as follows: Betway 1.90 (-4.5), Gbets 1.87 (-4.5) and Hollywoodbets 1.89 (-4.5)

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