20-11-2021 Daily Prediction Rugby International Wales vs Australia

Wales vs Australia

Two injury hit sides meet at the Principality Stadium when Wales welcome Australia in an Autumn International. The Welsh come into this match after a nervy 38-23 win over a 14 man Fiji. Fiji played large parts of the match with 13 players as their ill-discipline handed Wales the victory. Wales were without a victory for four matches before the Fiji match. They will be hoping that inspirational skipper Alun Wyn Jones is fit for this match. The surprise Six Nations champions has looked a shadow of their former selves since being crowned champions. The slump in form can be contributed to an injury crisis but the poor form of some of their key players like Dan Biggar has also hurt them badly. Wales have won both their previous matches against Australia. In the last fifteen matches against Australia, the hosts have only won two.

TIP: Australia are on a run of two consecutive losses on their Northern Hemisphere tour. Their tour started well with victory over Japan but two losses against Scotland and England have derailed their tour. They received further bad news that World Rugby Player of the year nominee skipper Michael Hooper is out of this match with injury. Both their nominees for this prestigious award are missing this match as Samu Kerevi is honoring his club commitments. Australia had beaten Wales in eight consecutive away matches until their loss in 2018 broke that sequence. The bookies are offering good returns on the home win and the best odds on the Wales win are as follows: Worldsportsbetting 1.70, Playabets 1.66, and Sunbet 1.68

HEAD TO HEAD STATS

Wales vs Australia

  • Australia have won three of the last five matches between these sides.
  • Wales have won the last two matches against Australia.
  • Australia had beaten Wales in eight consecutive home matches before losing the last one.

Latest results for both teams

Wales won their last match 38-23 to Fiji while Australia lost their last match 32-15 against Australia.

PREDICTION

The visitors were on a five game winning run before losing to Scotland. Their unbeaten run included two wins against World Champions South Africa in the Rugby Championship where they finished second. This match will be very attritional with both teams struggling in their respective backlines. The form of the number 10s Dan Biggar and James O’ Connor will decide who comes out on top in this match. Biggar has looked a shadow of the player we saw on the Lions tour while O’ Connor is yet to recapture the form he showed before his injury. The support of the home crowd will carry Wales to a 5 point win.

  • Confirmed  Starting XVs

Wales

15 Liam Williams, 14 Louis Rees-Zammit, 13 Nick Tompkins, 12 Uilisi Halaholo, 11 Josh Adams, 10 Dan Biggar, 9 Tomos Williams, 8 Aaron Wainwright, 7 Taine Basham, 6 Ellis Jenkins (c), 5 Seb Davies, 4 Adam Beard, 3 Tomas Francis, 2 Ryan Elias, 1 Wyn Jones

Australia

15 Kurtley Beale, 14 Andrew Kellaway, 13 Len Ikitau, 12 Hunter Paisami, 11 Filipo Daugunu, 10 James O’Connor, 9 Nic White, 8 Rob Valetini, 7 Pete Samu, 6 Rob Leota, 5 Izack Rodda, 4 Rory Arnold, 3 Taniela Tupou, 2 Tolu Latu, 1 James Slipper (c)

Odds for this bet

The best odds on the Wales victory are as follows:

Worldsportsbetting 1.70

Playabets 1.66

Sunbet 1.68

Odds comparison on a Wales handicap victory

Worldsportsbetting (-2.5) 1.90

Playabets (-2.5) 1.86

Sunbet (-2.5) 1.90

 Predictions and Odds in details

Australia are not the same team without their talismatic Captain Michael Hooper. The Welsh are also missing their leader but they have very good replacements. The Aussies were boosted by the return of Taniela Tupou who was badly missed in the last game. I expect the Welsh to improve on their showing in the last match as they will welcome back their star winger Josh Adams. His battle against the Wallabies wingers will be one of the highlights in this match. Wales offer decent returns on the outright win but we suggest them on the handicap. The best odds on this bet are as follows: Worldsportsbetting (-2.5) 1.90, Playabets (-2.5) 1.86 and Sunbet (-2.5) 1.90

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