22-01-2023 Daily Predictions European Challenge Cup Dragons vs Lions

Dragons vs Lions

The Dragons ended their seven game win drought when they beat Pau in their last match while the Lions have lost their last four games. The winner of this match will be guaranteed a place in the knockout stage while the loser will have an anxious wait to see if they qualify, courtesy of other results going their way. The Dragons are yet to beat the Lions in three previous matches with a draw being the closest they got. The visitors attack seems to have fallen away badly as they have plenty of possession in recent matches but are unable to confert it into points.

TIP: The matches between these sides have proven to be close affairs and this one promises to be the same. If the Lions are able to fine tune their finishing then they could finally break their duck. The man that has stood head and shoulders above everyone else in the Dragons team is Ross Moriarty and it was a surprise when he was not included in the Welsh squad for the Six Nations. He will certainly have a point to prove in this match. The bookies have the Dragons as favourites but I’m tipping the Lions for the upset win. The best odds on this bet are as follows: Worldsportsbetting 2.30, Playabets 2.35 and Sunbet 2.30

HEAD TO HEAD STATS

Dragons vs Lions

  • The Lions are unbeaten in their previous three matches against the Dragons.
  • There has been one draw between the sides.

Latest results for both teams

The Dragons beat Section Paloise 21-15 in their last match while the Lions lost 17-7 to Stade Francais in their last match.

PREDICTION

The Lions problems in attack is highlighted by the fact that their two most influential players from early in the season, Henco van Wyk and Marius Louw have struggled to regain their form after coming back from injury. They will need to get back their form if the Lions are to win. The Dragons will be hoping their front row can at least gain parity in the scrums as they have a potent backline that includes flying wings Rio Dyer and Ashton Hewitt. If these players can get the ball in space, then the Lions will have difficulty in stopping them. The power of the Lions pack will carry them to a 6 point victory.

Probable Starting XVs

Dragons

15 Jordan Williams, 14 Rio Dyer, 13 Steff Hughes (c), 12 Max Clark , 11 Ashton Hewitt, 10 Will Reed, 9 Lewis Jones, 8 Ross Moriarty, 7 Taine Basham, 6 George Nott, 5 Ben Carter, 4 Joe Davies, 3 Lloyd Fairbrother, 2 Bradley Roberts, 1 Rob Evans

Lions

15 Andries Coetzee, 14 Quan Horn, 13 Henco van Wyk, 12 Marius Louw (c), 11 Edwill van der Merwe, 10 Jordan Hendrikse, 9 André Warner, 8 Emmanuel Tshituka, 7 Emile van Heerden, 6 Jaco Kriel, 5 Darrian Landsberg, 4 Willem Alberts, 3 Asenathi Ntlabakanye, 2 Michael van Vuuren, 1 JP Smith

Odds for this bet

The best odds on the Toulouse victory are as follows:

Worldsportsbetting 2.30

Playabets 2.35

Sunbet 2.30

Odds comparison on the Lions handicap:

The complete odds on the Lions handicap:

Worldsportsbetting (+2.5) 1.90

Sunbet (+2.5) 1.89

Playabets (+2.5) 1.84

Predictions and Odds in details

There are excellent returns on the Lions upset win but if you looking for a safety bet then I suggest the visitors on the handicap. The best odds on this bet are as follows: Worldsportsbetting (+2.5) 1.90, Sunbet (+2.5) 1.89 and Playabets (+2.5) 1.84

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