22-07-2023 Daily Prediction NRL Premiership Newcastle Knights vs Melbourne Storm

Newcastle Knights vs Melbourne Storm

McDonald Jones Stadium will play host to Saturday’s Round 21 NRL game between Newcastle Knights and Melbourne Storm. Newcastle are in the race to make finals thanks to their performances in the last seven rounds. With every win they are getting closer to a playoff place but they have a momentous task as they face the Storm who are a strong top four side.

The Knights are fresh off a win following their final bye of the season, where they defeated the battered West Tigers 34-18, also marking their first back-to-back win of the season. The Melbourne forward pack put on a great performance against the Roosters last round and will be looking to continue in the same vain in this match.

TIP: After suffering a jaw injury earlier in the season, Marion Seve made his return through the QLD Cup last round, and he is listed among the reserves for the Storm. The Knights will be looking to Dominic Young and Xavier Coates as the young powerful wingers have been in great form this season with Young scoring 16 tries in his last 13 games and Coates scoring eight in his past four. The bookies have the Storm as favourites but I’m tipping the Knights for the upset win. The best odds on this bet are as follows: Betway 3.60, Gbets 3.55 and Hollywoodbets 3.60

HEAD TO HEAD STATS

Newcastle Knights vs Melbourne Storm

  • Melbourne Storm have won the last six matches between the teams.
  • The last time the Knights beat the Storm was in 2015.

Latest results for both teams

The Knights beat the West Tigers 34-18 in their last match while the Storm beat the Sydney Roosters 30-16 in their last match.

PREDICTION

Melbourne have been putting together extremely improved and more cohesive attack in their past two games after losing to the Penrith in a messy Round 18 clash. Their defence however has not been the greatest and I do believe that the Knights are at the level to be able to capitalize and claim victory. They have been in excellent form at home, winning five of their seven matches. The key man for the home side is Kalyn Ponga since returning to the fullback position in Round 13. Despite his poor goal kicking last week only converting three from seven attempts, Ponga was able to set up three tries as well as scoring his own four-pointer. I am predicting a home win by three points

Probable Starting XVs

Newcastle Knights

1. Kalyn Ponga 2. Dominic Young 3. Dane Gagai 4. Bradman Best 5. Greg Marzhew 6. Tyson Gamble 7. Jackson Hastings 8. Daniel Saifiti 9. Phoenix Crossland 10. Leo Thompson 11. Tyson Frizell 12. Lachlan Fitzgibbon 13. Adam Elliott 14. Kurt Mann 15. Jacob Saifiti

Melbourne Storm

1. Nick Meaney 2. William Warbrick 3. Reimis Smith 4. Justin Olam 5. Xavier Coates 6. Cameron Munster 7. Jahrome Hughes 8. Tui Kamikamica 9. Harry Grant 10. Christian Welch 11. Trent Loiero 12. Nelson Asofa-Solomona 13. Josh King 14. Tyran Wishart 15 Tom Eisenhuth

Odds for this bet

The best odds on the Knights victory are as follows:

Betway 3.60

Gbets 3.55

Hollywoodbets 3.60

Odds comparison on the Knights handicap:

The complete odds on the Knights handicap:

Betway 1.90 (+8.5)

Gbets 1.87 (+8.5)

Hollywoodbets 1.89 (+8.5)

Predictions and Odds in details

There are great returns on the Knights upset win but if you looking for a safety bet then I suggest the home team on the handicap. The best odds on this bet are as follows: Betway 1.90 (+8.5), Gbets 1.87 (+8.5) and Hollywoodbets 1.89 (+8.5)

Other tips for the weekend (Predicted winners are in BOLD text)

Gold Coast Titans vs. Sydney Roosters

Newcastle Knights vs. Melbourne Storm

North Queensland Cowboys vs. Parramatta Eels

Penrith Panthers vs. Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs

Fiji vs Tonga

Japan vs Samoa

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