26-11-2021 Daily Predictions Gallagher Premiership Bath vs Exeter Chiefs

Bath vs Exeter

Bath are having their worst ever start to a season losing their first seven matches to be bottom of the table with just three losing bonus points. The Chiefs are in fourth position with 20 points and they are also having a disappointing season compared to their usual high standards. Bath will be desperate for their first win in the league while the Chiefs will be battling to keep pace with the leading three teams. They are already 7 points behind the third placed team. Bath will need inspiration and the man that can produce that magic for them is Danny Cipriani. He needs to be at his beat to beat Exeter.

TIP: The Chiefs for so many years used their forwards to dominate teams but this season a combination of injury and form have made their pack look ordinary. Bath were unlucky in a few games where they lost by under 4 points but now need that believe that they can win. Their England international players like Sam Underhill and Jonathan Joseph need to stand up and help rejuvenate their team and other young players will follow. The bookies have the Chiefs as favourites and I also tip them for the win. The best odds on this bet are as follows:  Worldsportsbetting 1.22, Playabets 1.25 and Sunbet 1.21

HEAD TO HEAD STATS

Bath vs Exeter

  • Bath have only won one of the last matches against Exeter.
  • Bath last won at home against Exeter in 2019.
  • The last match between the sides was won by Exeter 38-16.

Latest results for both teams

Bath lost their last match 40-23 against Leicester while Exeter lost their last match 33-27 against Bristol.

PREDICTION

Chiefs look the much stronger team on paper with international stars all across the team. Players like Stuart Hogg are in great form having scored three tries for Scotland in the past two weeks but the big dangerman will be Sam Simmonds. He is lethal close to the line with his power and pace. Bath will need their forwards to front up against the powerful Chiefs pack and also they need to defend the rolling maul. The Chiefs are the best in the league at scoring tries from rolling mauls. The overall quality and class of the Chiefs team will prevail but it will be a close match with the visitors winning by 4 points.

  • Probable Starting XVs

Bath

15 Tom de Glanville, 14 Semesa Rokoduguni, 13 Jonathan Joseph, 12 Max Ojomoh, 11 Will Muir, 10 Danny Cipriani, 9 Ben Spencer, 8 Josh Bayliss, 7 Sam Underhill, 6 Miles Reid, 5 Charlie Ewels (c), 4, Mike Williams, 3 Johannes Jonker, 2 Tom Dunn, 1 Beno Obano

Exeter

15 Stuart Hogg, 14 Jack Nowell, 13 Henry Slade, 12 Ollie Devoto, 11 Tom O’Flaherty, 10 Joe Simmonds, 9 Jack Maunder, 8 Sam Simmonds, 7 Don Armand, 6 Jannes Kirsten, 5 Sean Lonsdale, 4 Will Witty, 3 Harry Williams, 2 Jack Innard, 1 Alec Hepburn

Odds for this bet

The best odds on the Exeter victory are as follows:

Worldsportsbetting 1.22

Playabets 1.25

Sunbet 1.21

Odds comparison on the Bath handicap  :

The complete odds on the Bath handicap:

Worldsportsbetting (+10.5) 1.90

Sunbet (+10.5) 1.87

Playabets (+8.5) 1.90

Predictions and Odds in details

The match will be decided by the forwards and Exeter certainly hold the edge in this department. The Chiefs have the best ball possession record in the game and can go through multiple phases without losing the ball. This is why the play of Underhill will be so vital to Bath as he can win turnovers at the breakdown and disrupt their ruck ball. If the Chiefs are allowed multiple phases in possession then they will easily win this contest. The bookies are offering poor returns on the Bath outright win therefore I suggest Bath on the handicap. The best odds on this bet are as follows: Worldsportsbetting (+10.5) 1.90, Sunbet (+10.5) 1.87 and Playabets (+8.5) 1.90

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