27-01-2024 Daily Predictions Gallagher Premiership Bristol vs Bath

Bristol vs Bath

Bristol welcomes Bath to Ashton Gate for this crucial Premiership encounter. The home team are struggling in eighth place, ten points off the playoff positions and will need a minor miracle to make the semifinals. They will have to win this match if they are to have any hope. The visitors on the other hand are sitting pretty in third spot with 36 points, just three off the top spot. They have been rejuvenated this season but will be without their talisman Finn Russell who is away on national duty with Scotland. They are also without key midfielders Ollie Lawrence and Cameron Redpath who are also on Six Nations duty.

TIP: Bristol have not been badly effected with national call ups which means that they have the luxury of selecting most of their first team regulars. One of the standout players this season for them has been new signing Benhard Janse van Rensburg. The South African has performed superbly in a struggling team with his powerful runs where he always beats the first tackler to get his team over the advantage line. The bookies have Bath as favorites and I’m also tipping them for the win. The best odds on this bet are as follows: Betway 1.75, Gbets 1.76 and Hollywoodbets 1.75

HEAD-TO-HEAD STATS

Bristol vs Bath

  • Bristol have won four of the last five matches between the sides.
  • The last match between the teams was won by Bath 20-19.

Latest results for both teams

Bristol lost 27-10 to Connacht in their last match while Bath were beaten 31-19 by Toulouse last time out.

PREDICTION

Bristol have seemed to have lost their identity with their famous running game being shelved in favour of a new kicking strategy which has not yielded the desired results. Many of the players seem lost with this tactic as they have been at their best in recent seasons when they kept ball in hand. They will need their kicking game to be accurate as Bath have some deadly counter attackers in Joe Cokanasiga and Will Muir. Both wingers will have a point to prove after they were overlooked by England manager Steve Borthwick. I am predicting an away win by 8 points.

Probable Starting XVs

Bristol

15 Max Malins, 14 Gabriel Ibitoye, 13 Virimi Vakatawa, 12 Benhard Janse van Rensburg, 11 Rich Lane, 10 Callum Sheedy, 9 Harry Randall, 8 Magnus Bradbury, 7 Fitz Harding (captain), 6 Steven Luatua, 5 Joe Batley, 4 James Dun, 3 Kyle Sinckler, 2 Harry Thacker, 1 Jake Woolmore.

Bath

15 Tom de Glanville, 14 Joe Cokanasiga, 13 Ollie Lawrence, 12 Cameron Redpath, 11 Will Muir, 10 Orlando Bailey, 9 Ben Spencer (captain), 8. Alfie Barbeary, 7. Miles Reid, 6. GJ van Velze, 5. Charlie Ewels, 4. Quinn Roux, 3. Thomas du Toit, 2. Tom Dunn, 1. Beno Obano

Odds for this bet

The best odds on the Bath victory are as follows:

Betway 1.75

Gbets 1.76

Hollywoodbets 1.75

Odds comparison on the Northampton handicap:

The complete odds on the Bath handicap:

Betway 1.90 (-2.5)

Gbets 1.87 (-2.5)

Hollywoodbets 1.89 (-2.5)

Predictions and Odds in details

There are decent odds on the Bath outright win therefore we suggest backing the home team on the handicap for better odds. The best odds on this bet are as follows: Betway 1.90 (-2.5), Gbets 1.87 (-2.5) and Hollywoodbets 1.89 (-2.5)

Other tips for the weekend (Predicted winners are in BOLD text)

Bristol vs Bath

Bordeaux vs Stade Francais

Castres vs Clermont

Toulon vs La Rochelle

Black Rams vs Spears Kubota

Canon Eagles vs Kobe Steel