29-07-2023 Daily Prediction The Rugby Championship Australia vs New Zealand

Australia vs New Zealand

Australia welcomes the All Blacks to the Melbourne Cricket Stadium for this Rugby Championship match which also doubles as the first leg of the Bledisloe Cup. The home team are winless in the competition after suffering losses to the Springboks and Argentina.

The situation with NZ could not be more different, having won their opening two matches and now only needing a single point to clinch the Championship. The home team will be looking for their big name players like Samu Kerevi and Will Skelton to display the form they showed in previous seasons if they are to have any hope of an upset win.

TIP: Wallabies head coach Eddie Jones is a man under pressure as he seeks his first victory in his new role. He has responded by making wholesale changes which includes giving flyhalf Carter Gordon his first start. The All Blacks have stuck largely to the same team that won the first two matches and have resisted the temptation to bring back veteran Sam Whitelock for the match. The bookies have NZ as favourites and I’m also tipping them for the win. The best odds on this bet are as follows: Betway 1.12, Gbets 1.13 and Hollywoodbets 1.12


Australia vs New Zealand

  • NZ have won the last five matches against the Wallabies.
  • The last time Australia beat NZ was in 2020.

Latest results for both teams

Australia lost 34-31 to Argentina in their last match while NZ beat the Springboks 35-20 in their last match.


The Wallabies have not beaten the All Blacks since 2020 and it will take a brave man to back the beleaguered home team. The visitors have looked their ruthless and clinical selves this season and have shown their intentions by selecting their strongest team, three matches in a row. The Aussies will need to cut out their handling errors as the All Blacks are brilliant on counter attack. There are many high profile match ups but none more so Skelton against the experience locking pair of Scott Barrett and Brodie Retallick. If the Aussie giant can disrupt their ball at lineout time, they have a chance as the majority of the All Blacks tries come from this source. I am predicting an away win by 10 points.

Probable Starting XVs


15 Andrew Kellaway, 14 Mark Nawaqanitawase, 13 Jordan Petaia, 12 Samu Kerevi, 11 Marika Koroibete, 10 Carter Gordon, 9 Tate McDermott, 8 Rob Valetini, 7 Tom Hooper, 6 Jed Holloway, 5 Will Skelton, 4 Nick Frost, 3 Allan Alaalatoa (c), 2 David Porecki, 1 Angus Bell

New Zealand

15 Beauden Barrett, 14 Will Jordan, 13 Rieko Ioane, 12 Jordie Barrett, 11 Mark Telea, 10 Richie Mo’unga, 9 Aaron Smith, 8 Ardie Savea (c), 7 Dalton Papali’i, 6 Shannon Frizell, 5 Scott Barrett, 4 Brodie Retallick, 3 Tyrel Lomax, 2 Codie Taylor, 1 Ethan de Groot

Odds for this bet

The best odds on the Japan victory are as follows:

Betway 1.12

Gbets 1.13

Hollywoodbets 1.12

Odds comparison on the Australia handicap:

The complete odds on the Australia handicap:

Betway 1.90 (+16.5)

Gbets 1.87 (+16.5)

Hollywoodbets 1.89 (+16.5)

Predictions and Odds in details

There are poor returns on the NZ outright win but if you looking for better odds then we suggest the home team on the handicap. The best odds on this bet are as follows: Betway 1.90 (+16.5), Gbets 1.87 (+16.5) and Hollywoodbets 1.89 (+16.5)

Other tips for the weekend (Predicted winners are in BOLD text)

Samoa vs Fiji

Scotland vs Italy

Japan vs Tonga

South Africa vs Argentina

Canberra Raiders vs Newcastle Knights

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