02-12-2023 Daily Predictions United Rugby Championship Lions vs Dragons

Lions vs Dragons

The high flying Lions take on the Dragons at the Emirates Stadium in this URC encounter. The home side have won two of their last three matches with their victory over Zebre last time out particularly impressive. The Dragons are only off the foot of the table by virtue of a better points difference than the Scarlets. They will be bitterly disappointed with their showing in the defeat to the Sharks as they were outplayed in all facets of the game. The Lions have maintained the same team for the last few matches and the continuity is showing great results.

TIP: The Dragons will be sweating over the fitness of some key players as there were various injuries in the Sharks match. Perhaps the most serious one is Cai Evans as he is their key goal kicker and the attacking catalyst from the fullback position. The Lions have no such problems as they have selected the same XV that overcame Zebre. The Sanele Nohamba experiment at flyhalf continues to be a master stroke. The bookies have the Lions as favorites and I’m also tipping them for the win. The best odds on this bet are as follows: Betway 1.01, Gbets 1. 01 and Hollywoodbets 1.01

HEAD-TO-HEAD STATS

Lions vs Dragons

  • The Lions have never lost to the Dragons in four previous matches.
  • There has been three wins for the Lions and a drawn match.

Latest results for both teams

The Lions beat Zebre 61-19 in their last match while the Dragons were beaten 69-14 by the Sharks last time out

PREDICTION

The Lions have adopted a ball in hand approach which has been paying handsome dividends for them but it is their rush defence that has been the biggest improvement. They have great counter attacking players like Quan Horn and Edwill van der Merwe so the Dragons will need to be accurate with their kicking or they could be in trouble. An area that the home side will be targeting is the scrum as the visitors struggled in this part of the game against the Sharks. Wesh international Aaron Wainwright will need to be at his best to disrupt the rucks and mauls. I am predicting an easy win for the Lions by under 25 points.

Probable Starting XVs

Lions

15 Quan Horn, 14 Richard Kriel, 13 Henco van Wyk, 12 Marius Louw (captain), 11 Edwill van der Merwe, 10 Sanele Nohamba, 9 Morne Von der Berg, 8 Francke Horn, 7 Ruan Venter, 6 Emmanuel Tshituka, 5 Darrien-Lane Landsberg, 4 Ruben Schoeman, 3 Ruan Dreyer, 2 PJ Botha, 1 Corne Fourie

Dragons

15 Cai Evans, 14 Rio Dyer, 13 Sio Tomkinson, 12 Aneurin Owen, 11 Ewan Rosser, 10 Will Reed, 9 Dane Blacker; 8 Aaron Wainwright, 7 Ollie Griffiths (c), 6 Sean Lonsdale,5 George Nott, 4 Matthew Screech, 3 Chris Coleman, 2 Bradley Roberts, 1 Aki Seiuli

Odds for this bet

The best odds on the Lions victory are as follows:

Betway 1.01

Gbets 1. 01

Hollywoodbets 1.01

Odds comparison on the Dragons handicap:

The complete odds on the Dragons handicap:

Betway 1.90 (+27.5)

Gbets 1.87 (+27.5)

Hollywoodbets 1.89 (+27.5)

Predictions and Odds in details

There are poor returns on the Lions outright win therefore we suggest backing the away team on the handicap. The best odds on this bet are as follows: Betway 1.90 (+27.5),Gbets 1.87 (+27.5) and Hollywoodbets 1.89 (+27.5)

Other tips for the weekend (Predicted winners are in BOLD text)

Harlequins vs Sale Sharks

Bristol vs Gloucester

Bath vs Exeter

Castres vs Lyon

Clermont vs Racing

Leicester vs Newcastle Falcons

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