Waratahs vs Brumbies

They say new brooms sweep clean and the Waratahs will be hoping this is true as they have had a record 5 losses to start the season. They have reacted by sacking Coach Rob Penney but unfortunately I think their problems run much deeper than the coach. The Waratahs have lost more than half their team in the close season to overseas clubs and they haven’t replaced those stars and foolishly expected youngsters to step up in their first season in Super Rugby. The new coaching team will have their work cut out as they start with a match up against the defending champion Brumbies. The Brumbies bounced back last week against the Force and showed the loss they suffered against the Reds was just a minor dent in their season. The Brumbies can be a ruthless team when on form and they will have club captain Allan Alaalatoa back from suspension which is a major boost for the team. The first round meeting between these team saw the Waratahs suffer their biggest ever defeat 61-10. They are at home and they will need all the support in this time of adversity.

TIP: The new Waratahs coaching team will want nothing more than a victory over the defending champions but that will not happen. This young Waratahs team will get blown out the park by this experienced and powerful Brumbies team. I know the Brumbies are away from home but I still expect them to win easily and their returning skipper will drive that forward pack and the Waratahs won’t be able to handle. The Brumbies win is priced at 1.07 which leaves no money to be made and I suggest the Brumbies on the handicap (-20.5). Sunbet and Worldsportsbetting have them at 1.90 on this handicap while Supabets have them at the same odds but on a -21.5 handicap.

HEAD TO HEAD STATS

Waratahs vs Brumbies

  • The Brumbies have won the last 7 matches against the Waratahs.
  • The Waratahs last won against the Brumbies in 2018.
  • The Brumbies have beaten the Waratahs in the last 5 matches in Sydney.

Latest results for both teams

The Waratahs lost their last game to the Reds 14-46 while the Brumbies won their last match against the Force 42-14.

PREDICTION

The Waratahs lack direction and need players like Izaia Perese and Jack Dempsey to guide them around the park. The Brumbies on the other hand have a group of seasoned pros who know how to win. We all know how strong the Brumbies are in the forwards but this season has seen them launch their potent backline with the likes of Tom Banks and Andy Muirhead coming to the fore. I predict a comfortable Brumbies win by more than 20 points

  • Probable  Starting XVs

Waratahs

15 Jack Maddocks, 14 Alex Newsome (c), 13 Lalakai Foketi, 12 Izaia Perese, 11 James Ramm, 10 Will Harrison, 9 Jack Grant, 8 Will Harris, 7 Carlo Tizzano, 6 Hugh Sinclair, 5 Sam Caird, 4 Sam Wykes, 3 Tetara Faulkner, 2 David Porecki, 1 Harry Johnson-Holmes

Brumbies

15 Tom Banks, 14 Andy Muirhead, 13 Len Ikitau, 12 Irae Simone, 11 Mack Hansen, 10 Noah Lolesio, 9 Nic White (captain), 8 Pete Samu, 7 Jahrome Brown, 6 Rob Valetini, 5 Cadeyrn Neville, 4 Darcy Swain, 3 James Slipper, 2 Folau Fainga’a, 1 Harry Lloyd

Odds for this bet

The Brumbies will cover the handicap (-20.5) and the best odds on this are as follows:

Worldsportsbetting 1.90

Sunbet 1.90

Supabets (-21.5) 1.90

Odds comparison for a Brumbies victory by more than 20 points

Worldsportsbetting 1.90

Sunbet 1.90

Playabets (-19.5) 1.86

Predictions  and Odds in detail

The Brumbies have that solidary last minute loss to the Reds but now they are back to full strength with the return of Wallaby front rowers Allan Alaalatoa and James Slipper. This makes them even more formidable and although they are playing away from home, this will be a runaway Brumbies victory. The Brumbies will blow the Waratahs away and win by more than 20 points.  Worldsportsbetting and Sunbet have the Brumbies handicap (-20.5) priced at 1.90 while Playabets has them at 1.86 on a -19.5 handicap.

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