Horse Racing Tips Today

Horse Racing Tips Today, Fairview – 21st Feb, 2025

Today’s South African horse racing action is available from Gqeberha, with an eight-race card from the Fairview Turf track.

Below are our South African horse racing tips and suggested bets for the day’s racing. If you are following our horse racing today tips and placing bets, good luck, and hopefully, it’ll be a winning day for all.

Fairview Selections (Betting odds are correct at the time of writing and are subject to change).

Race 1 

Tip: BONJOUR LA VILLE EW @ 4/1

Reason: BONJOUR LA VILLE is better off at the weights with the favourite and there should not be much separating them at the finish. The value lies with the filly and she should finish in the money.

Race 2 

Tip: BRIGHT FUTURE EW @ 14/1

Reason: I am taking a chance of the three-year-old BRIGHT FUTURE to continue his fair form. He has not finished too far behind the winners, and can sneak into the money.

Race 3 

Tip: FIRE ALARM EW @ 4/1

Reason: FIRE ALARM has placed in both runs over course and distance. I expect a top run, and will banker the filly in all exotics.

Race 4 

Tip: MY BEST SHOT WIN @ 7/1

Reason: Simple really, best weighted, best form, should win at a canter, banker MY BEST SHOT in everything.

Race 5 

Tip: BEAU KALA EW @ 7/1

Reason: Ultra-consistent filly who never runs a bad race. She has been rested for four months, and if fit should go close to winning. 

Race 6 

Tip: GIMMIE’S LADDIE EW @ 5/1

Reason: GIMMIE’S LADDIE is much better than his last two runs, and his form before that was excellent. I am backing him to bounce back here and return to his prior form.

Race 7 

Tip: THREE ROCKS EW @ 5/1

Reason: THREE ROCKS has gone off the boil in her recent races. However she is still a classy filly and should bounce back soon. At 5/1, she represents the value especially if she runs like her previous form.

Race 8 

Tip: JOY AND PEACE EW @ 5/1

Reason: JOY AND PEACE was not disgraced in a Listed event last time at Kenilworth. She should pose a strong challenge for her male rivals. Lets hope she gets our weekend going with some EW returns.

Yesterday Horse Racing Results

Please note yesterday’s horse racing meeting at Turffontein (February 20th) was abandoned due to a waterlogged course.

Turffontein Selections

Race 1 

Tip: NO BET

Reason: A work rider’s maiden race to start the card and it’s a very poor field. So, no bet from me and I rather save my cash for the better races to come.

Race 2 

Tip: CHERRY OH BABY EW @ 4/1

Reason: CHERRY OH BABY finished second in each of her last two races and those formlines have been franked. She is the horse to beat here, and a banker in my BIPOT and PA.

Race 3 

Tip: LUCKY LAD EW @ 4/1

Reason: A likely boat race between LUCKY LAD and WILLIAM ROBERTSON. Not much to separate the pair, and I rather back the EW bet than taking the lower odds for a straight win.

Race 4 

Tip: SMELTING EW @ 12/1

Reason: SMELTING was unlucky not to win last time, and can go one better here. She carries a low mass of 52.5kgs, and represents the EW value in this race.

Race 5 

Tip: FIRE ATTACK EW @ 4/1

Reason: FIRE ATTACK ran on strongly in a Grade 3 last time and is a leading contender here. With some luck in running, the colt should contest the finish.

Race 6 

Tip: BANHA BRIDGE EW @ 10/1

Reason: BANHA BRIDGE is better than his last start and can bounce back. On best form, he should be competitive and run into the money.

Race 7 

Tip: TOTAL SURRENDER EW @ 5/1

Reason: TOTAL SURRENDER ran a good race in this grade last time. He seems to run well for jockey Craig Zackey and the combination should fight out the finish.

Race 8 

Tip: DOITWITHDIAMONDS EW @ 5/1

Reason: DOITWITHDIAMONDS has been running well and is in top form. She loves running on this course and has two wins and two seconds in five starts. I will be surprised if she runs out of the money.

Race 9 

Tip: SNEAK PREVIEW EW @ 6/1

Reason: The lucky last and I am in the camp of SNEAK PREVIEW. The filly has good form and is knocking on the door for her next win. With some luck in running, she is a leading contender to close the card. 

Understanding Horse Racing Predictions

Factors that influence horse racing predictions

The class of the horse – Understanding the class of a race and the relative ratings of horses within that class is indeed crucial for handicapping and predicting race outcomes. Horses that are competing in a class above their usual level often struggle to perform well against stronger competition. Conversely, horses dropping down in class may have an advantage over their rivals.

Weight of the horse – Weight matters a lot in horse racing. If a horse has too much weight, it can slow them down and make it hard for them to win. But if they have just the right amount, they have a better chance. Sometimes, if a horse has too little weight, it’s like finding a secret advantage.In big races, pay attention to horses that did well last time and now have much less weight than before. That could mean they have a better chance to win this time.

Fitness – Horses that are running regularly are generally fit. The longer a horse has been away from racing, the more uncertain its fitness level becomes.  If a horse has not raced in 21 days or more then there’s a question mark hanging over their readiness to compete.

Track Ability – Certain horses excel on specific types of tracks. Some thrive on small, twisting circuits while others prefer the spacious long stretches of  a track. You can learn a lot from a horse’s track record by looking into their history to see where they’ve performed best. Pay attention to horses that have won at a particular track at least twice. The more wins they have at a track, the more confident you can be in their ability to handle it.

Distance ability – Every horse has a distance they’re best at while some are fast sprinters, others some are good at middle distances (between 1600m and 2000m). There are others that are great at staying power (from 2100m upwards to 3200m). Look closely at each horse’s past performances at the race’s distance. Horses that have won at that distance more than once are more likely to do well.

The Market – Looking at the betting market can give you a good idea of which horses have the best chance to win a race. In about 80% of all races, one of the top four favourites ends up winning. This suggests that if you are backing a horse outside of the top four favourites, you’re entering the less likely range where only about 20% of winners come from. That means you’re going against that 80% statistic, which can be a bit riskier.

Types of Different Bets 

Win bet – A win bet is indeed one of the simplest forms of betting on horse racing. It’s very straightforward, you pick a horse and if it comes first, then your bet wins. It’s often favoured by those looking for a higher payout, as it carries more risk compared to other types of bets like a place bet. The win bet generally has excellent odds unless it is the favourite.

Place Bet – A place bet is a much safer bet than a win bet as your horse can finish in any of the top four positions and you will still receive a payout. The payout on the place bet generally has poor odds as there is a lower risk of losing. 

Exotic single bets – Exotic single race bets allow you to bet on multiple horses in a single race. There are five main types: the exacta, trifecta, superfecta, hi-5, and quinella. Each of these bets involves selecting multiple horses and predicting their finishing positions in various combinations. It’s a bit more complex than straight bets like win or place but it can lead to bigger payouts if you get it right. 

Exacta Bet – With an exacta bet, you’re aiming to predict not just the top two finishers but also their exact order. If you correctly pick which horse comes first and which comes second then your bet is a winner. There are excellent odds on an exacta bet. 

Trifecta Bet – A trifecta bet is like a step up from an exacta.To win this bet you need to correctly predict the horses which will finish first, second, and third in a race and you have to get the order exactly right. It’s a difficult bet to win but the payouts are very rewarding. 

Pick three and six bets – This bet may have different names but they all follow the same principle. Depending on whether it’s the pick three or six bet, you need to correctly predict between three and six first place finishes for three to six consecutive races. The pick six is the holy grail of horse racing bets as the payouts run into thousands of rands. The chances of predicting six winners is a serious longshot therefore the payouts are so big. 

At Topbets, we pride ourselves on offering accurate and reliable betting predictions. Our free Whatsapp channel is designed to provide you with the best tips and insights to help you make informed betting decisions.

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