After a gruelling year which saw Barcelona lift the La Liga title for the 29th time, the wait is finally over as the 2026/27 La Liga season is upon us. With 38 gameweeks of exhilarating action anticipated, this season is expected to be filled with action, thrills, upsets and tears. Below, we’ll run through our top predictions for the upcoming La Liga season.
| Betting Market | Favourite Team/s |
| League Winner | Barcelona |
| Top Four | Barcelona, Real Madrid, Atletico Madrid, and Villarreal |
| Relegation Candidates | Málaga, Deportivo, and Elche |
| Top Goalscorer | Kylian Mbappe |
La Liga 2026/27 Outright Betting Odds
Latest La Liga Winner Odds
The betting sites and algorithms have anticipated a two-horse race heading into the La Liga 2026/27 season, with Barcelona leading the La Liga winner odds at 1.75. Jose Mourinho’s newly tinkered Real Madrid is placed at 2.10 to lift the La Liga crown, with Atletico Madrid in a distant third-place at 17.00.
How La Liga Outright Betting Works
La Liga outright betting is a betting market that lets you place a stake on the final outcome of the entire season, rather than on individual matches. Outright bets are long-term wagers that can be placed either before a season or during a campaign, but not while a match is underway. During an outright bet, there are no cashouts, meaning that your money is tied up until the season concludes in May.
La Liga Outright bets are fun as the odds will continue to shift based on the gameweek’s action, such as team performances, player injuries, transfer markets and match results. Betting early allows you to secure higher odds if a team performs well at the start, such as Real Madrid taking an early lead in last season’s title race. However, it can also result in the loss of value, such as Barcelona odds to win La Liga, which rose after they were 8 points behind Real Madrid last season.
Popular La Liga outright betting markets include League Winners, To Finish Top 4, To Be Relegated, and Top Goalscorer. For the top goalscorer market, Dead Heat Rules apply, meaning that in the occurrence of a tie, your bet results as a win, but your stake is divided by the number of tied players. You can also play Each-Way (E/W) bets, which split your stake into two bets: one for your team to win outright and one for them to finish in the top places. This allows you to win the place part of your bet if your team finishes in second place.
Who Will Win La Liga 2026/27?
The La Liga 2026/27 season should feature a title race between the two Spanish juggernauts, Barcelona and Real Madrid.
Barcelona Title Prediction
The defending champions, Barcelona (1.75), are our La Liga winner prediction to claim the title and be crowned kings of Spain for the third time in as many seasons. After a slow start last season, they ran riot and claimed the league by a staggering 8 points over rivals Real Madrid. They have solidified their attack with the acquisitions of Newcastle winger, Anthony Gordon and Dortmund striker, Karim Adeyemi, after losing the goal-scoring prowess of Robert Lewandowski.
Real Madrid Title Prediction
Barcelona should be followed by bitter rivals Real Madrid (2.10), who started the previous season off strongly before falling out with their coaching staff, leading to them dropping points. The recent arrival of Jose Mourinho, one of the greatest managers in the world, should bolster the squad and team morale and may give them the clinical edge to close the gap with Barcelona. However, there should be a clash of egos between him and the changing room, which may lead to Real Madrid going trophyless for the third season in a row.
Atletico Madrid Title Chances
Atletico Madrid’s La Liga title odds are priced at 17.00 at Sportingbet, giving them a 5% implied probability to lift the trophy. Statistical data models, such as the Opta Supercomputer, give Diego Simeone’s men a 11.70% chance to be crowned the kings of Spain. The supercomputer and bookmakers are far more optimistic about Atleti’s title chances than I am.
I do not think they have closed the mammoth 17-point gap behind second-place Real Madrid or the gigantuan 25-point gap behind champions Barcelona. They should secure a top-four finish, but after losing Antoine Griezmann’s leadership and with members of the squad being unsettled, this should be a tough season for Los Colchoneros.
Where to bet: Betway, Hollywoodbet, Mzansibet
21-08-2026
| Match | Winner | Under/Over | Correct Score | Advice | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Real Betis
vs
Real Sociedad  |
No prediction
– | – | – | No predictions available |
22-08-2026
| Match | Winner | Under/Over | Correct Score | Advice | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Athletic Club
vs
Sevilla  |
Athletic Club
50% | -3.5 | – | Combo Double chance : Athletic Club or draw and -3.5 goals | |
 Valencia
vs
Celta Vigo  |
Celta Vigo
50% | – | – | Double chance : draw or Celta Vigo | |
 Espanyol
vs
Real Madrid  |
Real Madrid
50% | – | – | Double chance : draw or Real Madrid |
23-08-2026
| Match | Winner | Under/Over | Correct Score | Advice | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Atletico Madrid
vs
Villarreal  |
Atletico Madrid
45% | – | – | Double chance : Atletico Madrid or draw |
La Liga Top Four Predictions 2026/27
The Spanish sides had a good run in Europe last season, leading to five teams qualifying for the 2026/27 UEFA Champions League: Barcelona, Real Madrid, Villarreal, Atletico Madrid and Real Betis. However, the top-four race was over before the final few gameweeks, with fourth-placed Atletico Madrid nine points clear of fifth-placed Real Betis at the end of the season.
Best Teams to Finish in the Top Four
The best teams to finish in the top four in the Spanish La Liga are Barcelona (1.01), Real Madrid (1.01), Atletico Madrid (1.20) and Real Betis (3.75), based on the odds at Sportingbet. These odds are based on mathematical algorithms and use past performances, team news, transfers and head-to-heads to determine the implied statistical chances for each team to make the top four.
La Liga Top Four Outsiders
Based on the above odds, the best outsiders to make the top four include Villarreal CF (4.00) and Athletic Bilbao (4.00). Villarreal finished in the top four last season and has a strong side capable of doing so again. Athletic Bilbao had a blip last season, and with Nico Williams regaining his form, they should be another contender for the top four spot. Real Sociedad (7.00) has a decent squad and won the Copa del Rey last season, qualifying for the Europa League and will have a small chance of finishing in the top four with Mikel Oyarzabal leading the attack.
Our Top Four Prediction
We predict that there will be no change this season, and the four teams that secured the top four spots in the 25/26 season should claim the top four spots again. As already covered, the top two spots should go to Barcelona (1.01), our La Liga title prediction winners, and Real Madrid (1.01), with Villarreal (4.00) reclaiming third spot. There seems to be turmoil in the Atletico Madrid (1.20) camp with players being unsettled, and they should struggle this season. However, they have a good squad and a good manager in Diego Simeone, which should ensure they claim the final top-four spot.
Where to bet: Betway, Hollywoodbet, Mzansibet
La Liga 26/27 Outright Tips: La Liga European Qualification Predictions
Champions League Qualification
The La Liga sides are expected to go far once again in Europe this season, and they should seal five positions in the UCL over Germany once again. In addition to Barcelona, Real Madrid, Villarreal and Atletico Madrid, they should be joined by Athletic Bilbao.
Bilbao had a poor season in La Liga 2025/26, being knocked out of the Champions League in the group stage and finishing twelfth. Their form should improve this season, as they will only play one game per week. If Nico Williams retains his stellar form, they should be able to claim the final UCL spot.
Europa League Qualification
La Liga is guaranteed two places in next season’s Europa League. If they do well in Europe, the sixth and seventh-placed teams should qualify for the Europa League if the Copa del Rey winners do not fall out of the top five. Based on their team strength and transfers, Real Betis and Real Sociedad should claim the UEFA Europa League spots this season.
Europa Conference League Qualification
Spanish teams are only guaranteed one spot in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Generally, the sixth-placed team automatically qualifies for the Conference League. However, if the Copa del Rey winners fall outside of the top five, Spain gets two teams in the Europa Conference League. We predict that Getafe should secure their spot in the UEFA Europa Conference League next season.
Where to bet: Betway, Hollywoodbet, Mzansibet
Correct Score Odds
| Loading… | Real Betis vs Real Sociedad | 1:1 5.50 1:0 6.25 2:1 7.00 2:0 8.50 0:0 8.50 | Bet Now |
| Loading… | Athletic Club vs Sevilla | 1:0 4.75 2:0 6.00 1:1 6.00 2:1 7.00 0:0 8.00 | Bet Now |
| Loading… | Valencia vs Celta Vigo | 1:1 5.25 1:0 5.75 0:1 7.00 2:1 7.50 0:0 8.00 | Bet Now |
| Loading… | Espanyol vs Real Madrid | 0:1 5.75 0:2 6.00 1:2 6.50 1:1 7.50 0:3 8.50 | Bet Now |
| Loading… | Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal | 1:1 6.00 1:0 6.50 2:1 7.00 2:0 8.00 0:0 9.50 | Bet Now |
La Liga Relegation Predictions 2026/27
Newly Promoted Teams
Newly promoted teams to the Spanish top flight are strong, and a few teams survive their first season in La Liga. I predict that this season will be no different, with the La Segunda champions, Racing Santander, avoiding relegation and staying in La Liga. The automatically promoted side, Deportivo La Coruna, and promotion play-off winners will have a lot to do if they hope to survive the drop.
Our Relegation Predictions
The relegation battle for the La Liga 2026/27 season should be incredibly tight and may go down to the final gameweek, as it did last season. The newly promoted sides are always favourites to be relegated, and I think that this season will be no different. Malaga (2.20), who won the playoff, and Deportivo de La Coruna (3.00) should face the drop and return to La Segunda.
However, I believe that there should be a high-profile causality in the mix. Sevilla (5.00) has struggled in recent years and has narrowly survived intense relegation dogfights over the last two consecutive seasons, and their luck may run out, dropping them to La Segunda. Another team that could face the drop is Elche (3.25), who narrowly survived on the final day last season and have lost a key goal-scoring threat in Andre Silva, who departed for FC Porto. The three teams going down should be Malaga, Deportivo and Elche.
La Liga 26/27 Outright Tips: La Liga Golden Boot Predictions 2026/27
La Liga Top Scorer Odds
The La Liga Golden Boot race has been dominated by a single man in recent seasons. Since his arrival at Real Madrid, Kylian Mbappe (1.55) has dominated the Golden Boot race.
Managed by Jose Mourinho for the first time, his blistering pace, partnered with Vinicius Junior and Yan Diomande, will be key to Madrid’s counterattacks, similar to Mourinho’s first stint at Madrid, where he used Cristiano Ronaldo as his main attacking outlet with fast counters by Angel Di Maria and Mesut Ozil.
The FIFA World Cup all-time leading goal-scorer should claim his third Golden Boot in as many seasons as a Real Madrid player and should easily claim another 25 goals this season. Unless he gets injured, I do not see how his contemporaries, Lamine Yamal (10.00) or Mikel Oyarzabal (15.00), can catch him.
Best La Liga Outright Bets for 2026/27
The 2026/27 La Liga season is expected to be filled with exhilarating action, immense emotions, and weekly thrills. We expect many upsets, controversies, and intense action across the 38 gameweeks. The obvious favourite to claim the crown is Barcelona, who should win their third consecutive La Liga title. The inclusion of Jose Mourinho in the fray will make life difficult for Hansi Flick, and if he can manage to control the egos of the Madrid changing room, we should be in for a treat for the upcoming La Liga season.
The top four may not be as decisive as it was last season, but there should be no newcomers in the top four, with Barcelona, Real Madrid, Villarreal and Atletico Madrid securing a top-four finish. Kylian Mbappe should be the favourite to secure the Golden Boot for a third straight season, while Malaga should be the favourites to return to La Segunda.
Bet at Bettabets – 100% First Deposit Match up to 250 ZAR
At Topbets, we pride ourselves on offering accurate and reliable betting predictions. Our free Whatsapp channel is designed to provide you with the best tips and insights to help you make informed betting decisions.
La Liga 2026/27: FAQ
Q: What are La Liga outright bets?
A: La Liga outright bets are bets placed on the outcome of the entire season. The betting markets available include league winners, top four, relegation candidates, and top goalscorer.
Q: Who will finish in the La Liga top four?
A: The top four sides in La Liga should be Barcelona, Real Madrid, Villarreal and Atletico Madrid.
Q: Who are the favourites to be relegated from La Liga?
A: The favourites to be relegated from La Liga include Malaga, Racing Santander and Levante.
Writer/Betting Tipster
I have been in the iGaming industry for a decade and am an avid sports bettor and fan. I have expanded my betting knowledge to create articles on the iGaming industry focusing on online casino content and sports betting analysis for several regions, including South Africa. I cover various sports, including Soccer, Cricket and Horse Racing. All my predictions, tips and insights are thoroughly researched and I aim to help fellow punters in beating the bookies!
