England vs Croatia Prediction and Betting Tips

England vs Croatia Prediction and Betting Tips

Match Preview

  • Competition: FIFA World Cup 2026
  • Matchday: Matchday 1
  • Date: 17 June 2026
  • Kick-off time: 15:00 (22:00 Local)
  • Venue: AT&T Stadium

Match details

The AT&T Stadium, home to the Dallas Cowboys, takes centre stage for Game 22 of Matchday 1 of the 2026 FIFA World Cup, featuring England and Croatia. The match is set to commence at 15:00 (GMT-5) in Arlington, Texas and 22:00 (GMT+2) in South Africa. England’s hopes to lift their second World Cup title rest on the shoulders of their captain, Harry Kane, who is a frontrunner to claim the Golden Boot. For more information regarding our top picks for the Golden Boot race, check out our World Cup Top Goalscorer predictions.

Why this match matters

This epic encounter is loaded with knockout football heritage, as the two European giants have met countless times in the Euros, Nations League and World Cup. With this fixture being England’s and Croatia’s first match in the World Cup, there is added pressure to start the tournament on the right foot and claim all three points.

England vs Croatia head-to-head stats

Head-to-head record

England and Croatia have a history dating back to 2004, when the two teams met for the first time in the Euros. Both teams have met 11 times, with England leading the head-to-head (6-2-3), winning 6, drawing 2, and losing 3. In their meetings, England had scored 22 goals, while Croatia scored 17 times, with their recent meetings consisting of:

  • 13/06/2021 (EURO 2020) England 1 – 0 Croatia
  • 18/11/2018 (UEFA Nations League) England 2 – 1 Croatia
  • 12/10/2018 (UEFA Nations League) Croatia 0 – 0 England
  • 11/07/2018 (2018 FIFA World Cup) Croatia 2 – 1 England (AET)
  • 09/09/2009 (World Cup Qualifier) England 5 – 1 Croatia

England’s recent form

England’s last five matches: WWDLW

England are in good form heading to their World Cup opener, having won three, drawn 1 and losing 1, against teams such as:

  • 06/06/2026 (Friendly International): England 1 – 0 New Zealand
  • 31/03/2026 (Friendly International): England 0 – 1 Japan
  • 27/03/2026 (Friendly International): England 1 – 1 Mauritania
  • 16/11/2025 (World Cup Qualifier): Albania 0 – 2 England
  • 13/10/2025 (World Cup Qualifier): England 2 – 0 Serbia

England started their World Cup preparations in perfect form, winning all of their World Cup Qualifiers without conceding a single goal. Thomas Tuchel’s men will be keen to take their defensive solidity and make a deep run in the World Cup.

England’s last five matches saw them concede 2 times while scoring 6 goals. They picked up solid wins against Serbia, Albania and New Zealand. England suffered a shock defeat to Japan, while drawing with Uruguay ahead of the World Cup. 

Croatia’s recent form

Croatia’s last five matches: WWLLW

Croatia has a decent record heading into their World Cup opener, winning three and losing twice, picking up the results against the following teams:

  • 07/06/2026 (Friendly International): Croatia 2 – 1 Slovenia
  • 02/06/2026 (Friendly International): Croatia 0 – 2 Belgium
  • 01/04/2026 (Friendly International): Brazil 3 – 1 Croatia
  • 27/03/2026 (Friendly International): Colombia 1 – 2 Croatia
  • 17/11/2025 (World Cup Qualifier): Montenegro 2 – 3 Croatia

Croatia won their World Cup Qualifier group, picking up seven wins and a single draw, which saw them automatically qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In their recent five matches, Croatia managed to score 8 goals while conceding 9 times. They suffered defeats against two strong teams in Brazil and Belgium, while picking up good wins against Montenegro, Colombia and Slovenia heading into the World Cup.

Team news

England team news

Injuries: 

Suspensions: N/A

Key players to watch: England captain and leading goal-scorer, Harry Kane, remains the focal point of England’s attack. His ability to drop deep to dictate play and draw in defenders will prove pivotal in creating chances by unleashing their explosive wingers, Marcus Rashford and Bukayo Saka.

Croatia team news

Injuries: N/A

Suspensions: N/A

Key players to watch: Captain Luka Modrić’s elite technical ability and major tournament experience will be key to Croatia’s creativity. Joško Gvardiol returns from injury to anchor the Croatian backline. The reliable goal-scorer Andrej Kramarić, along with Ante Budimir’s movement in the box and shooting accuracy, will be pivotal to Croatia’s chances of scoring.

Predicted lineups

England predicted XI

Thomas Tuchel’s teams are generally defensive sides that look to use inverted overloads on the flanks to take an early lead and compact defensive transitions to hold on to their lead. England have been defensively solid at the back and will look to continue their impressive record. We predict the Three Lions to feature a highly disciplined, possession-oriented 4-2-3-1 formation with their starting XI featuring: 

Jordan Pickford (G) – Reece James – Jarell Quansah – Marc Guéhi – Nico O’Reilly – Declan Rice – Elliot Anderson – Bukayo Saka – Jude Bellingham – Marcus Rashford – Harry Kane (C).

Croatia predicted XI

Zlatko Dalić takes an ageing Croatian side to the World Cup with most of his main players returning from injury. He has transformed the Croatian side into a 4-2-3-1 that transitions to a 3-4-2-1 off the ball to accommodate the ageing legs of his attack while utilising his defensive core. The Vatreni and Kockasti starting XI should feature:

Dominik Livaković (G) – Josip Stanišić – Martin Erlić – Marin Pongračić – Joško Gvardiol – Luka Modrić (C) – Mateo Kovačić – Marco Pašalić – Andrey Kramarić – Ivan Perišić – Ante Budimir.

Best betting markets for England vs Croatia

Match winner

Prediction: England to WIN @ 79/100 (1.79) at BetXchange.

Over/Under goals

Prediction: Under 2.5 goals @ 113/100 (2.13) at BetXchange.

Both teams to score

Prediction: Both teams to score No @ 78/100 (1.78) at Sportingbet.

Anytime goalscorer

Prediction: Harry Kane to score anytime @ 5/4 (2.25) at Betway.

The world may have stopped for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, but there is still an action-packed calendar of sporting events. The KZN Champions season headliner is fast approaching, and you can get your Durban July predictions right here at Topbets by checking out our Horse Racing Tips page.

England vs Croatia prediction

Best bet

Prediction: Under 2.5 goals @ 113/100 (2.13) at BetXchange.

Correct score prediction

Prediction: Match to end 1 – 0 to England @ 6/1 (7.00) at WSB.

Match analysis and verdict

England and Croatia renew their World Cup rivalry when they meet in their opening fixture at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. We predict that England’s young and versatile team will be too much for Croatia’s ageing side. Their defensive solidity will be difficult to breach for Croatia, and we expect a hard-fought 1-0 victory going in England’s favour.

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