Tunisia
World CupWhy this tip?
While the Dutch have struggled against low blocks in the past, the Tunisian defence has been poor in recent outings. Despite their head-to-head record showing tight matches with goals by both teams, we believe that the Netherlands have the quality to score and contain the Tunisians. The match should end 4 – 0 in favour of the Dutch.
Match Preview
- Competition: FIFA World Cup 2026
- Matchday: Matchday 3
- Date: 26 June 2026
- Kick-off time: 18:00 (01:00 Local)
- Venue: Kansas City Stadium (Arrowhead Stadium)
Match details
The Kansas City Stadium (Arrowhead Stadium) is set to host Game 58 of Matchday 3 of the 2026 FIFA World Cup, featuring Tunisia taking on the Netherlands. The match is set to commence at 18:00 (GMT-5) in Kansas City, Missouri and 01:00 (GMT+2) in South Africa. If you are interested in learning more about our top picks for the 2026 FIFA World Cup knockout rounds, our 2026 FIFA World Cup predictions page has all our tips and match predictions in one spot.
Why this match matters
The final matchday in Group F features group leaders the Netherlands taking on whipping boys Tunisia. Tunisia have already been eliminated from the 2026 FIFA World Cup based on their head-to-head record against third-placed Sweden. However, the Netherlands currently holds the top spot but are tied with Japan on points and goal difference. The Netherlands should dominate proceedings tonight as they will need a dominant win here if they want to hold on to their lead at the top of Group F.
Tunisia vs Netherlands head-to-head stats
Head-to-head record
Tunisia and the Netherlands have clashed twice in senior men’s football, with the last encounter taking place more than a decade and a half ago. A detailed breakdown of their recent record against each other includes tight encounters that ended in score draws:
- 11/02/2009 (Friendly International) Tunisia 1 – 1 Netherlands
- 19/01/1994 (Friendly International): Tunisia 2 – 2 Netherlands
Tunisia’s recent form
Tunisia’s last five matches: DLLLL–
Tunisia are in dismal form heading to their final group game of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Their last five matches include encounters against:
- 21/06/2026 (FIFA World Cup): Tunisia 0 – 4 Japan
- 15/06/2026 (FIFA World Cup): Sweden 5 – 1 Tunisia
- 06/06/2026 (Friendly International): Belgium 5 – 0 Tunisia
- 01/06/2026 (Friendly International): Austria 1 – 0 Tunisia
- 01/04/2026 (Friendly International): Canada 0 – 0 Tunisia
Despite being undefeated and without conceding in their FIFA World Cup Qualifying Group, Tunisia has yet to reach even a fraction of their success since then. In their last five games, Tunisia managed to find the back of the net just once while conceding 15 goals.
Tunisia were tactically outclassed in each of their last five outings, and did not trouble any team. They suffered heavy defeats to Austria and Belgium and lost to Japan and Sweden in their 2026 FIFA World Cup group matches. However, they did manage to stalemate Canada to a goalless draw heading into the World Cup.
Netherlands’ recent form
Netherlands’ last five matches: WWWDW–
The Netherlands are in decent form heading into their final group game of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Their last five matches were against:
- 20/06/2026 (FIFA World Cup): Netherlands 5 – 1 Sweden
- 14/06/2026 (FIFA World Cup): Netherlands 2 – 2 Japan
- 08/06/2026 (Friendly International): Netherlands 2 – 1 Uzbekistan
- 03/06/2026 (Friendly International): Netherlands 0 – 1 Algeria
- 31/03/2026 (Friendly International): Netherlands 1 – 1 Ecuador
Despite being undefeated in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, the Netherlands are not in the best of form for a team of their calibre. They picked up good wins against Uzbekistan and Sweden but were held by Ecuador and Japan, and suffered a huge defeat to Algeria, leading up to the World Cup.
However, the Netherlands are undefeated in their last three matches, with each featuring over 2.5 goals. However, their recent success was overshadowed by their poor defensive showing, having conceded a goal in each of their last five despite Verbruggen pulling off some great saves. The Netherlands scored 10 goals and conceded 6 times in their last five matches.
Team news
Tunisia team news
Injuries: N/A
Suspensions: N/A
Key players to watch: Tunisia relies on direct transitional play and will use the flair and direct running capabilities of Hannibal Mejbri to carry the ball forward on the counter. Ellyes Skhribi and Rani Khedira’s physicality will disrupt the Dutch rhythm and create problems for their midfielders. Ali Abdi will have the massive responsibility of tracking Denzel Dumfries and will need to stop his relentless overlapping runs
Netherlands team news
Injuries: N/A
Suspensions: N/A
Key players to watch: Virgil van Dijk’s aerial dominance will be key for goals, as the Dutchman generally struggles against teams with a low block. Tijjani Reijnders and Frenki de Jong will be pivotal in tightening spaces, blocking passing lanes, and quickly recovering ball possession. Denzel Dumfries has been the talisman for the Dutch attack, utilising overlapping runs and hitting dangerous crosses into the box, allowing Cody Gakpo to cut inside and overload the penalty area.
Predicted lineups
Tunisia predicted XI
Since his arrival, Hervé Renard has opted to use a defence-oriented 4-2-3-1 utilising a compact low block that suffocates spaces, which will annoy the Dutch attack. Tunisia will look to counter when they have the ball and will use direct transitional play to advance it in search of goals. We predict the Eagles of Carthage starting XI to feature:
Abdelmouhib Chamakh (G) – Yan Valery – Omar Rekik – Montassar Talbi – Ali Abdi – Ellyes Skhiri (C) – Rani Khedira – Mohamed Amine Ben Hmida – Hannibal Mejbri – Anis Ben Slimane – Elias Saad.
Netherlands predicted XI
Ronald Koeman operates using a fluid 4-3-3, prioritising territorial dominance with lethal wing play. The Netherlands uses a high line that presses high up the field and heavily relies on Dumfries to exploit the wing, allowing for Malen to make incisive runs into the box. The Dutch will look to use their aerial expertise to their advantage on dead balls and exploit van Dijk’s aerial threat. We predict the Oranje starting XI to feature:
Bart Verbruggen (G) – Denzel Dumfries – Jan Paul van Hecke – Virgil van Dijk (C) – Micky van de Ven – Frenkie de Jong – Ryan Gravenberch – Tijjani Reijnders – Donyell Malen – Cody Gakpo – Brian Brobbey.
Best betting markets for Tunisia vs Netherlands
Match winner
Prediction: Netherlands to win @ 16/100 (1.41) at WSB.
Over/Under goals
Prediction: Over 2.5 goals @ 1/2 (1.50) at BetXchange.
Both teams to score
Prediction: Both teams to score No @ 55/100 (1.55) at BetXchange.
Anytime goalscorer
Prediction: Brian Brobbey to score anytime @ 105/100 (2.05) at Hollywoodbets.
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Tunisia vs Netherlands prediction
Best bet
Prediction: Netherlands to win both halves @ 102/100 (2.02) at Hollywoodbets.
Correct score prediction
Prediction: Match to end 4 – 0 to the Netherlands @ 17/2 (9.50) at WSB.
Match analysis and verdict
Tunisia and the Netherlands clash in their final Group F game of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. The top spot of Group F is still wide open with only a point separating first-place Netherlands and third-place Sweden. Tunisia have already been knocked out and has conceded 8 goals in their 2 World Cup matches.
While the Dutch have struggled against low blocks in the past, the Tunisian defence has been poor in recent outings. Despite their head-to-head record showing tight matches with goals by both teams, we believe that the Netherlands have the quality to score and contain the Tunisians. The match should end 4 – 0 in favour of the Dutch.
Writer/Betting Tipster
I have been in the iGaming industry for a decade and am an avid sports bettor and fan. I have expanded my betting knowledge to create articles on the iGaming industry focusing on online casino content and sports betting analysis for several regions, including South Africa. I cover various sports, including Soccer, Cricket and Horse Racing. All my predictions, tips and insights are thoroughly researched and I aim to help fellow punters in beating the bookies!
