At TopBets South Africa, we bring you expert Ligue 1 predictions to guide your betting on France’s top flight league. Our tips cover popular markets such as 1X2, Over 2.5 Goals, Both Teams To Score, and more. Every prediction is based on detailed analysis of team form, head-to-head records, player performances, and key statistics.
Paris Saint-Germain remain the team to beat in the French Ligue One but we believe a few teams can spring surprises.
Paul Pogba is back at Monaco, so we expect them to challenge for the league, but their main priority will be to be in the Champions League. What about the relegation battle and battling for other European slots? We will bring you weekly predictions on games in the French top-flight football.
Ligue 1 Round 23 Predictions
Fri, Feb 20
Brest VS Olympique Marseille
Olympique de Marseille has shown stronger attacking consistency and better results against mid-table opposition than Stade Brestois 29. Marseille’s higher position in the standings(4th vs 12th), superior goal difference, and deeper squad highlight the quality gap. With Brest struggling for consistency, Marseille’s momentum gives them the competitive edge
- Marseille Wins
- Over 3.5 Goals
- BTTS Yes
Sat, Feb 121
Lens VS Monaco
RC Lens has shown strong performances at Stade Bollaert, combining defensive solidity with efficient attacking play. AS Monaco, despite their quality, have displayed occasional inconsistency away from home. Lens’ competitive league position, home momentum, and balanced goal difference provide the statistical edge for a home win.
- Lens Wins
- Under 2.5 Goals
- BTTS No
Toulouse VS Paris FC
Toulouse FC has shown stronger overall performances and greater top-flight experience than Paris FC. Toulouse’s higher competitive level, superior squad depth, and consistent home results provide a clear quality edge. With better attacking output and league standing (Toulouse at 10th vs Paris at 15th), their overall momentum favors a home victory.
- Toulouse Wins
- Correct Score: 2 – 1
- BTTS Yes
PSG vs Metz
Paris Saint-Germain has consistently dominated FC Metz. PSG’s 2nd position in the standings, superior goal difference, and high scoring rate highlight the clear quality gap. With Metz struggling defensively against elite opposition, PSG’s attacking depth and home dominance make a home victory most likely.
- PSG Wins
- Over 3.5
- BTTS Yes
Paris FC vs Lens
Lens is a strong away win pick as the recent meetings between Paris and Lens show the latter winning more of the recent meetings, including 5 wins vs Paris FC’s 3, with the latest top-flight clash a 2-1 Lens victory in October last year. Lens also have stronger form, scoring more and losing less overall this season, while Paris FC sits lower in the Ligue 1 table and struggles for consistent results at home.
- Lens Wins
- Under 2.5
- Under 10.5 Corners
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Sun, Feb 21
Le Havre vs Toulouse
Toulouse is projected to win as it has been dominating with the better record in recent meetings, including 4-1 in February 2025 and a 0-0 draw in November 2025, and more overall wins. Toulouse currently sits well above Le Havre in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 table and has better recent form and goal return, while Le Havre struggles for consistency and scores fewer goals.
- Toulouse Wins
- Under 1.5 Goals
- BTTS No
Auxerre VS Rennes
Stade Rennais FC have shown stronger attacking consistency and better results against mid-table sides than AJ Auxerre. Rennes’ higher league position(6thvs 16th), superior goal difference, and balanced squad depth highlight the quality advantage. With Auxerre struggling for defensive stability, Rennes’ momentum and overall performance favor an away win.
- Rennes Wiins
- Under 3.5 Goals
- Correct Score: 0- 2
Nice VS Lorient
FC Lorient has shown resilience and effective counter-attacking performances against higher-ranked opponents. OGC Nice, despite defensive organization, has struggled for consistent attacking output in key matches. With Lorient demonstrating sharper finishing and positive recent results, their momentum and tactical efficiency provide a competitive edge.
- Under 2.5 Goals
- Away Win
- Away – 0.75
Angers VS Lille
Angers SCO have shown improved consistency and stronger results at home. Lille OSC, while competitive, has displayed occasional inconsistency away from home this season. With Angers demonstrating better recent momentum, defensive stability, and effective home performances, the overall form trend gives them the edge for a home win.
- Under 2.5 Goals
- Angers Wins
- BTTS No
Nantes VS Le Havre
FC Nantes and Le Havre AC have shown similar levels of consistency. Both sides sit close in the standings (Le Havre at 13th vs Nantes at 17th), with comparable goal differences and fluctuating recent results. Balanced head-to-head outcomes and cautious tactical approaches in recent fixtures suggest a tightly contested match.
- Draw
- Under 3.5
- BTTS Yes
Strasbourg VS Lyon
Olympique Lyonnais has shown stronger attacking output and improved consistency compared to RC Strasbourg Alsace. Lyon’s higher position (3rd vs 7th) in the standings, superior goal difference, and deeper squad highlight the quality advantage. With Strasbourg struggling for defensive stability, Lyon’s momentum and overall performance favor an away win.
- Lyon Wins
- Over 2.5
- Under 10.5 Corners
Ligue 1 Standings & Fixtures
13-03-2026
| Time | Match |
|---|---|
| Loading… |
 Marseille
vs
Auxerre  |
14-03-2026
| Time | Match |
|---|---|
| Loading… |
 Lorient
vs
Lens  |
| Loading… |
 Angers
vs
Nice  |
| Loading… |
 Monaco
vs
Stade Brestois 29  |
15-03-2026
| Time | Match |
|---|---|
| Loading… |
 Strasbourg
vs
Paris FC  |
| Loading… |
 Paris Saint Germain
vs
Nantes  |
| Loading… |
 Le Havre
vs
Lyon  |
| Loading… |
 Metz
vs
Toulouse  |
| Loading… |
 Rennes
vs
Lille  |
20-03-2026
| Time | Match |
|---|---|
| Loading… |
Lens
vs
Angers |
Ligue 1
| # | Team | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain | 18 | 3 | 4 | 32 | 57 |
| 2 |
Lens | 18 | 2 | 5 | 27 | 56 |
| 3 |
Marseille | 14 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 46 |
| 4 |
Lyon | 14 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 46 |
| 5 |
Rennes | 12 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 43 |
| 6 |
Lille | 12 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 41 |
| 7 |
Monaco | 12 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 40 |
| 8 |
Strasbourg | 10 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 36 |
| 9 |
Stade Brestois 29 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 36 |
| 10 |
Lorient | 8 | 10 | 7 | -4 | 34 |
| 11 |
Angers | 9 | 5 | 11 | -7 | 32 |
| 12 |
Toulouse | 8 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 31 |
| 13 |
Paris FC | 6 | 9 | 10 | -12 | 27 |
| 14 |
Le Havre | 6 | 8 | 11 | -12 | 26 |
| 15 |
Nice | 6 | 6 | 13 | -18 | 24 |
| 16 |
Auxerre | 4 | 7 | 14 | -16 | 19 |
| 17 |
Nantes | 4 | 5 | 16 | -20 | 17 |
| 18 |
Metz | 3 | 4 | 18 | -34 | 13 |
Round 22 Results
Rennes vs PSG
- PSG Wins❌
- Under 3.5 Goals❌
- BTTS No❌
Monaco vs Nantes
- Monaco Wins✅
- Over 2.5 Goals✅
- BTTS Yes✅
Olympique Marseille vs Strasbourg
- Marseille Wins❌
- Correct Score: 2 – 1❌
- Home -0.5❌
Lille vs Brest
- Lille Wins❌
- Over 3.5❌
- BTTS Yes✅
Paris FC vs Lens
- Lens Wins✅
- Under 2.5❌
- Under 10.5 Corners✅
Le Havre vs Toulouse
- Toulouse Wins❌
- Under 1.5 Goals❌
- BTTS No❌
Metz vs Auxerre
- Auxerre Wiins✅
- Under 3.5 Goals❌
- Correct Score: 0- 1❌
Lorient vs Angers
- Under 2.5 Goals✅
- Draw❌
- X1✅
Lyon vs Nice
- Under 2.5 Goals✅
- Draw❌
- BTTS Yes❌
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