Ligue 1 2026/27 Outright Predictions, Odds & Betting Tips

After a nervy start to the season, which saw Lens lead for a couple of gameweeks, PSG lifted the Ligue 1 crown yet again for a record 14th time. After a gruelling two months, the wait for the Ligue 1 2026/27 season is finally over. With 38 gameweeks of exhilarating action anticipated, this season is expected to be filled with thrills, upsets and sensational football action. Below, we’ll run through our top predictions for the upcoming Ligue 1 season.

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Ligue 1 2026/27 Outright Betting Odds

How Ligue 1 Outright Betting Works

Ligue 1 Outright betting allows you to place stakes on how the season will conclude. Outright bets on Ligue 1 are exciting, as the odds will shift with every game in a gameweek. Popular Ligue 1 outright betting markets include League Winners, To Finish Top 4, To Be Relegated, and Top Goalscorer. 

Special rules apply to some outright bets, such as the top goalscorer market. These rules include the Dead Heat Rules, which halve your stake when a tie occurs, including your winning bet. Your halved stake is then multiplied by your bet to award your winnings. You can also play Each-Way bets, which split your stake into two bets: a separate bet for the win and the place. This ensures that you can make some profit if your bet finishes second or third, in some cases. 

Below, we have included our top picks for the Ligue 1 season so that you will not need to ask who will win Ligue 1 2026/27.

Who Will Win Ligue 1 2026/27?

Betting sites have placed PSG as huge favourites to reclaim the title, with Ligue 1 winner odds at 1.15. They should easily win the title and should be looking to complete the treble for the second time in three years.

PSG Title Prediction

PSG (1.15) has been unstoppable in France of late under head coach Luis Henrique, having won all three seasons under him. PSG are our Ligue 1 winner prediction to claim the title and be crowned kings of France for the fourth time in as many seasons, as they look to win their first ever sextuple. They have solidified their attack with the acquisition of Barcelona talisman and World Cup-winning goalscorer, Ferran Torres and should steamroll the competition this season.

Marseille Title Chances

Marseille (15.00) has had a complete overhaul of their side, with Bruno Genesio taking charge over the summer and losing key members of their squad. Their main attacking threat, Mason Greenwood, left for Fenerbache, and striker Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang departed for Deportivo La Coruna. They have strengthened by bringing in Timothy Weah and Hamed Traore, but their transfer business will not be enough to close the gap with PSG.

Monaco Title Chances

After a lacklustre season, which ended in Monaco (15.00), finishing in 7th place, manager Felipe Luis will have a tough rebuild as they target a return to the Champions League. Monaco has suffered key departures over the summer, with Maghnes Akliouche leaving for PSG and Aladji Bamba transferring to Newcastle. With Monaco having a financial cap on their wages, incoming transfers may be few and far between. Winning the Ligue 1 title will be a tough ask, and a UCL spot should be the most important factor in Monaco’s season.

Other Ligue 1 Title Chances

Behind the three main French teams, PSG, Marseille and Monaco, mathematical models and Opta Supercomputers have given the other sides just a single-digit chance of claiming the Ligue 1 crown. Lens and Lille will be competing in the Champions League, and the extra set of matches will hamper their chances of performing to last season’s level. Lyon is a juggernaut in French football, but has struggled lately and should finish in the top four once again this season.

Can Anyone Stop PSG?

PSG have been red-hot under Luis Enrique and have not put a foot wrong during his tenure. He has stated that they are looking to win every trophy this season and have started well by winning the UEFA Super Cup against Aston Villa. You should not be asking yourself who will win Ligue 1, as I cannot see any team usurping PSG to the Ligue 1 title.

Ligue 1 Top Four Predictions 2026/27

Despite PSG winning the UCL, French sides did not perform well in Europe last season, leading to only three teams automatically qualifying for the 2026/27 UEFA Champions League: PSG, Lens and Lyon, with Lyon headed into the UCL Qualifiers. 

Teams That Could Break Into the Top Three

Lyon is the only side that I can see breaking into the top three ahead of Monaco. Lens and Lille will have more matches to play. Lens has a new manager, and the transition season may prove difficult. Lille has a strong side and could challenge for the top spot, but with the extra matches, they should struggle. Both sides have struggled in previous seasons when they also had to play in the UCL, and I believe that history will repeat itself.

Our Ligue 1 Top 3 Prediction

PSG are our Ligue 1 outright winner, and they should claim the top spot and a UCL place. They should be followed by Marseille (1.55) and Monaco (1.95), who have been strong in preseason and will be looking to perform better this season than their Europa League and Europa Conference League places would suggest.

Ligue 1 European Qualification Predictions

Champions League Qualification

PSG is expected to go far once again in Europe this season, and France should seal three automatic and one playoff positions in the UCL once again. In addition to PSG, Monaco and Marseille, Lyon should qualify for a UCL spot. Lyon had a poor season in Ligue 1 2025/26, being knocked out of the Europa League in the Round of 16 after winning the Group Phase, and will be eager to improve their league standings. 

Europa League Qualification

Ligue 1 is guaranteed two places in next season’s Europa League. Based on their team strength and transfer business, Lille and Lens should claim the UEFA Europa League spots this season. 

Europa Conference League Qualification

French teams are only guaranteed one spot in the UEFA Europa Conference League. We predict that Nice should secure their spot in the UEFA Europa Conference League next season.

Ligue 1 Relegation Predictions 2026/27

Newly Promoted Teams

Troyes and Le Mans are the newly promoted teams competing in Ligue 1 for the 2026/27 season. Both sides secured their return to the top flight after finishing in the top two places in Ligue 2. Troyes returns after a three-year absence, while Le Mans ends a sixteen-year wait to return to the French top flight. Both teams will be under immense pressure to remain in Ligue 1, and are huge favourites to head back down to Ligue 2.

Established Clubs at Risk

Angers, Auxerre and Toulouse are the primary established Ligue 1 teams heavily tipped by bookmakers and predictive models to face relegation in the 2026/27 season. Angers narrowly survived last season and are expected to spend the entire season lingering in the bottom three. Auxerre have been heavily burdened financially and have struggled to upgrade their squad, which has barely survived previous top-flight seasons. Finally, Toulouse’s inconsistent form and lack of goals have left them vulnerable to dropping into the relegation playoff places.

Our Ligue 1 Relegation Predictions

The relegation battle for the 26/27 La Liga season should be incredibly tight, as it was last season. The newly promoted sides are always favourites to be relegated, and I think that this season will be no different. Le Mans (1.90) and Angers (2.20) should face the drop and return to Ligue 2, with Troyes (2.30) finishing in the relegation playoff places. 

Ligue 1 Goalscorer Predictions 2026/27

Luis Enrique heavily rotates his side; his forwards do not always score in the league. With their main league goalscoring threat, Bradley Barcola, possibly leaving, Ferran Torres will be their main attacking focal point in the league, with their main front three in Dembele, Doue and Kvaratskhelia being utilised in the UCL

Esteban Lepaul will be expected to perform well in another Ligue 1 season and be among the top goal scorers in the 2026/27 season. Unlike his PSG counterpart, he will not need to worry about squad rotations and should be a pivotal starter for Rennes. Monaco’s Folarin Balogun had a good World Cup and ended last season with 13 goals. He remains Monaco’s main focal point and should be eager to increase his tally this season. 

Best Ligue 1 Outright Bets for 2026/27

The Ligue 1 2026/27 season is expected to be filled with intense scenes and emotional thrills, if you exclude PSG. They should easily claim the Ligue 1 title, but their odds of 1.15 are nothing to be happy taking, unless it is in an acca. Monaco (1.95) to finish in the top four and Le Mans (1.90) to be relegated are our best bets for the upcoming Ligue 1 2026/27 season.

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Ligue 1 2026/27 Season: FAQ

Q: What does winner without PSG mean?

A: The Winner Without PSG betting market means who will win the league without PSG taking place. If PSG wins the league and your team finishes second, you win your bet. If PSG does not win the league, only if you picked the league winner will your bet result in a win.

Q: Which teams will finish in the Ligue 1 top three?

A: The top three sides in Ligue 1 should be PSG, Marseille and Monaco.